LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

$84.3K Vol
Aug 27, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
CITA Kaizen 100.0%
eSuba 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor sits in third with 9,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $84.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $24.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (9,000%): Sitting in third place with a 9,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,000%), Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (9,000%), and Odd/Even Total Kills (9,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay a Dragon are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$24.9K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$3.7K9995¢-9895¢
3Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
5Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
10Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon1000.0%1000¢-900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
15Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills1000.0%1000¢-900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
21Game 2 Winner5.0%$1.7K95¢
22Match Winner5.0%$54.0K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between eSuba and CITA Kaizen in the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "eSuba" if eSuba win the match against CITA Kaizen.

This market will resolve to "CITA Kaizen" if CITA Kaizen win the match against eSuba.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 26, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 26, 2026

  • 09:00 AM
    SUSuper01
    $1.00

    Bought 1.265819 CITA Kaizen for LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season at 0.79

  • 08:09 AM
    BUbub111
    $3.00

    Bought 12.5 eSuba for LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season at 0.24

  • 07:58 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.234563 CITA Kaizen for LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season at 0.81

  • 03:28 AM
    NInigiri99
    $2.25

    Bought 9 eSuba for LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season at 0.25

  • 02:48 AM
    $1.50

    Bought 1.923072 CITA Kaizen for LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season at 0.78

  • 02:48 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $104.26

    Bought 401 eSuba for LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season at 0.26

  • 02:45 AM
    SHShhsvskanbs
    $21.75

    Bought 87 eSuba for LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season at 0.25

  • 02:44 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $1.50

    Bought 6 eSuba for LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season at 0.25

  • 12:34 AM
    IAianamay1
    $3.00

    Bought 30 CITA Kaizen for LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen - Game 1 Winner at 0.1

  • 12:14 AM
    $3.67

    Bought 21.588234 CITA Kaizen for LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season at 0.17

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

BL1
bloodmaster
Event PnL
-$4,031.84
Volume
$18,315.34
Positions
CITA KaizenCITA KaizenUnder+1
AL2
alpheclabs
Event PnL
+$1,013.05
Volume
$10,702.70
Positions
eSubaOvereSuba
FU3
Future-Tarot-Trader
Event PnL
+$156.34
Volume
$6,880.41
Positions
eSubaCITA Kaizen
B54
0xB595…6105
Event PnL
+$59.11
Volume
$6,063.64
Positions
eSubaCITA Kaizen
SA5
sanls6
Event PnL
-$57.75
Volume
$4,500.00
Positions
CITA Kaizen
NI6
nirypplw
Event PnL
-$53.95
Volume
$4,100.00
Positions
CITA Kaizen
CA7
calculate10
Event PnL
-$939.69
Volume
$3,778.62
Positions
eSubaCITA Kaizen
LI8
littlelonely777
Event PnL
+$1.60
Volume
$3,197.15
Positions
eSuba

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 9,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $84.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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