
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,700% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 7,550%, while Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor sits in third with 5,300%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $60.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,700%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,700¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 7,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,550¢.
- Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,300%): Sitting in third place with a 5,300% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,300%), Any Player Quadra Kill (5,300%), and Any Player Penta Kill (5,300%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 7700.0% | — | 7700¢ | -7600¢ |
| 2 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 7550.0% | — | 7550¢ | -7450¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 5 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 6 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 7 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $385 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $385 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 4850.0% | $385 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 10 | First Blood in Game 2? | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 11 | First Blood in Game 1? | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 12 | O/U 2.5 Games | 4650.0% | $6 | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 4600.0% | $4.0K | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 15 | Game 1 Winner | 4050.0% | $109 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 16 | Game 2 Winner | 4050.0% | $60 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 18 | Match Winner | 3750.0% | $55.5K | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 19 | Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) | 3550.0% | $57 | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 21 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 3350.0% | — | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 22 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 23 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 24 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 25 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 26 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 2250.0% | — | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
| 27 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1850.0% | — | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 28 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1800.0% | — | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
| 29 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1150.0% | — | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 14 at 3:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming.
This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against EDward Gaming.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 13, 2026
- 09:04 PM0X0xbe04De83A935c27152BaB16ABA6aB3440e4F1481-1769461699745$197.00
Bought 447.727271 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.44
- 09:01 PMAMam100$11.78
Bought 21.04 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.56
- 09:00 PMSVsveta.pellervo$2.79
Sold 5.08 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.55
- 09:00 PMSVsveta.pellervo$2.79
Sold 5.08 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.55
- 09:00 PM0X0xB4919D47Eb75445CADD5003eD68FB8BAb9Db4400-1784372055977$9.23
Sold 21.46 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.43
- 08:40 PMANAntiVaxxer$2.85
Bought 5 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.57
- 08:40 PMDRDriftCapital$6.00
Bought 10.52 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.57
- 08:40 PMDRDriftCapital$7.71
Bought 13.52 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.57
- 08:40 PMRARadioFreeZerg$7.55
Bought 13.24 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.57
- 08:40 PMRARadioFreeZerg$5.87
Bought 10.3 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.57
- 08:40 PMDEdemo258$13.10
Bought 31.2 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.42
- 08:38 PMHOhoddlerr$19.53
Bought 21.461533 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.91
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend"?
As of the latest update, Both Teams Slay a Dragon leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,700% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 7,550% and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 5,300%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $60.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
