LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

$60.1K Vol
Aug 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
LGD Gaming 61.5%
EDward Gaming 38.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,700% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 7,550%, while Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor sits in third with 5,300%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $60.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,700%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,700¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 7,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,550¢.
  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,300%): Sitting in third place with a 5,300% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,300%), Any Player Quadra Kill (5,300%), and Any Player Penta Kill (5,300%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon7700.0%7700¢-7600¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon7550.0%7550¢-7450¢
3Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
4Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
6Any Player Penta Kill5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$3855000¢-4900¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$3855000¢-4900¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills4850.0%$3854850¢-4750¢
10First Blood in Game 2?4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
11First Blood in Game 1?4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
12O/U 2.5 Games4650.0%$64650¢-4550¢
13Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4650.0%4650¢-4550¢
14Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4600.0%$4.0K4600¢-4500¢
15Game 1 Winner4050.0%$1094050¢-3950¢
16Game 2 Winner4050.0%$604050¢-3950¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon3900.0%3900¢-3800¢
18Match Winner3750.0%$55.5K3750¢-3650¢
19Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)3550.0%$573550¢-3450¢
20Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?3500.0%3500¢-3400¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?3350.0%3350¢-3250¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
24Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
25Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2250.0%2250¢-2150¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1850.0%1850¢-1750¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1800.0%1800¢-1700¢
29Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1150.0%1150¢-1050¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 14 at 3:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against EDward Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 13, 2026

  • 09:04 PM
    0X0xbe04De83A935c27152BaB16ABA6aB3440e4F1481-1769461699745
    $197.00

    Bought 447.727271 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.44

  • 09:01 PM
    AMam100
    $11.78

    Bought 21.04 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.56

  • 09:00 PM
    SVsveta.pellervo
    $2.79

    Sold 5.08 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.55

  • 09:00 PM
    SVsveta.pellervo
    $2.79

    Sold 5.08 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.55

  • 09:00 PM
    0X0xB4919D47Eb75445CADD5003eD68FB8BAb9Db4400-1784372055977
    $9.23

    Sold 21.46 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.43

  • 08:40 PM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $2.85

    Bought 5 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.57

  • 08:40 PM
    DRDriftCapital
    $6.00

    Bought 10.52 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.57

  • 08:40 PM
    DRDriftCapital
    $7.71

    Bought 13.52 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.57

  • 08:40 PM
    RARadioFreeZerg
    $7.55

    Bought 13.24 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.57

  • 08:40 PM
    RARadioFreeZerg
    $5.87

    Bought 10.3 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.57

  • 08:40 PM
    DEdemo258
    $13.10

    Bought 31.2 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.42

  • 08:38 PM
    HOhoddlerr
    $19.53

    Bought 21.461533 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.91

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

ST1
steevenseakael
Event PnL
-$285.00
Volume
$19,000.00
Positions
EDward Gaming
NE2
NemecGhudini
Event PnL
+$213.75
Volume
$14,250.00
Positions
LGD Gaming
ST3
StasPanda
Event PnL
+$67.61
Volume
$13,499.97
Positions
LGD Gaming
GO4
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$9,999.94
Positions
EDward Gaming
AM5
am100
Event PnL
-$12.19
Volume
$4,346.45
Positions
EDward Gaming
SE6
sentrio
Event PnL
-$20.05
Volume
$4,009.63
Positions
EDward Gaming
387
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$9.99
Volume
$3,187.79
Positions
LGD Gaming
WA8
wangkaihua
Event PnL
-$0.18
Volume
$3,063.38
Positions
LGD Gaming

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams Slay a Dragon leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,700% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 7,550% and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 5,300%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $60.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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