LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

$80.5K Vol
Aug 24, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Sentinels 84.5%
Disguised 15.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,950% chance of winning. Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) follows in second place at 6,650%, while Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $80.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (6,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $44 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) (6,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) maintains a 6,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,650¢.
  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%), Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%), and Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Penta Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?6950.0%$446950¢-6850¢
2Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)6650.0%$41.2K6650¢-6550¢
3Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5000.0%$1.0K5000¢-4900¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5000.0%$825000¢-4900¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26O/U 2.5 Games3800.0%$6.8K3800¢-3700¢
27Game 2 Winner2750.0%$10.5K2750¢-2650¢
28Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?2150.0%$7012150¢-2050¢
29Game 1 Winner2050.0%$91.1K2050¢-1950¢
30Match Winner1550.0%$37.7K1550¢-1450¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Disguised and Sentinels in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win the match against Sentinels.

This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win the match against Disguised.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 23, 2026

  • 08:57 AM
    LALaziFTW
    $3.88

    Bought 7.46 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.52

  • 08:56 AM
    0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027
    $125.40

    Bought 266.81 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.47

  • 08:50 AM
    HQHQJVmiHkU8HCyrqN
    $2.00

    Bought 2.5641 Sentinels for LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.78

  • 08:35 AM
    UNunsuspectingmoose
    $2.82

    Bought 6 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.47

  • 08:35 AM
    UNunsuspectingmoose
    $8.26

    Bought 14 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.59

  • 08:00 AM
    FOforgedinlol
    $25.00

    Bought 108.7 Disguised for LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.23

  • 08:00 AM
    FOforgedinlol
    $1.15

    Bought 5 Disguised for LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.23

  • 06:23 AM
    JAJamesNguyen12
    $4.00

    Bought 12.903224 Disguised for LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner at 0.31

  • 05:42 AM
    QUqueenshaniqua
    $1.07

    Bought 1.389608 Sentinels for LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.77

  • 05:42 AM
    IDIDNSIDNS
    $1.54

    Bought 2 Sentinels for LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.77

  • 05:42 AM
    SESeraphandkermitet
    $6.16

    Bought 8 Sentinels for LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.77

  • 05:41 AM
    S7s7n6y4emhdc1
    $3.72

    Bought 4.831165 Sentinels for LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.77

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

BB1
BBQChickenisthebesttt
Event PnL
+$350.01
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
SentinelsSentinels
VE2
verifly
Event PnL
-$13.99
Volume
$9,999.87
Positions
Sentinels
ME3
meoooow
Event PnL
-$303.99
Volume
$8,954.63
Positions
DisguisedDisguised
TE4
Terry.CHEN
Event PnL
-$238.22
Volume
$7,852.75
Positions
Disguised
BY5
BYTasb001
Event PnL
-$57.40
Volume
$7,620.98
Positions
DisguisedOver
DR6
Dragon-Warrior
Event PnL
+$185.69
Volume
$7,427.58
Positions
Sentinels
9E7
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$151.59
Volume
$6,190.95
Positions
SentinelsDisguisedDisguised+1
GO8
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
+$94.57
Volume
$5,627.34
Positions
SentinelsSentinelsSentinels+2

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season"?

As of the latest update, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,950% win probability, followed by Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) at 6,650% and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $80.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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