LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage

$52.6K Vol
Aug 13, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Capybara Esports 64.5%
Dream Esports 35.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 5,000%, while Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $52.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 2 Winner (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%), Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%), and Any Player Penta Kill (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2O/U 2.5 Games5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Game 1 Winner4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
22Match Winner3550.0%$52.6K3550¢-3450¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between Dream Esports and Capybara Esports in the LPLOL Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 12 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Dream Esports" if Dream Esports win the match against Capybara Esports.

This market will resolve to "Capybara Esports" if Capybara Esports win the match against Dream Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 11, 2026

  • 08:43 PM
    DRDrBaconXD
    $1.00

    Bought 2.941175 Dream Esports for LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage at 0.34

  • 08:18 PM
    CUCukkoo
    $1.05

    Bought 3 Dream Esports for LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage at 0.35

  • 08:15 PM
    121234ab
    $7.70

    Bought 22 Dream Esports for LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage at 0.35

  • 08:15 PM
    NONopants
    $48.96

    Sold 144 Dream Esports for LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage at 0.34

  • 08:06 PM
    BABajaBlaster
    $106.64

    Bought 172 Capybara Esports for LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage at 0.62

  • 07:58 PM
    BABajaBlaster
    $137.60

    Sold 344 Dream Esports for LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage at 0.4

  • 07:44 PM
    CUcustalt
    $2.85

    Bought 5 Capybara Esports for LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage at 0.57

  • 07:43 PM
    0X0x6a2319D434A6A808f1135097dbC5710e01b3394d-1780078676576
    $63.67

    Sold 120.14 Capybara Esports for LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage at 0.53

  • 07:43 PM
    $2.43

    Bought 5.0625 Dream Esports for LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage at 0.48

  • 07:43 PM
    0X0x6a2319D434A6A808f1135097dbC5710e01b3394d-1780078676576
    $61.20

    Sold 127.51 Dream Esports for LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage at 0.48

  • 07:38 PM
    0X0x6a2319D434A6A808f1135097dbC5710e01b3394d-1780078676576
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Dream Esports for LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage at 0.5

  • 07:38 PM
    0X0x6a2319D434A6A808f1135097dbC5710e01b3394d-1780078676576
    $2.45

    Bought 5 Dream Esports for LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage at 0.49

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MB1
mbabba
Event PnL
+$228.59
Volume
$7,173.51
Positions
Capybara Esports
BL2
bloodmaster
Event PnL
+$83.11
Volume
$4,314.43
Positions
Dream Esports
KE3
Kevin871
Event PnL
+$23.74
Volume
$3,559.64
Positions
Capybara Esports
6A4
0x6a23…6576
Event PnL
-$583.23
Volume
$2,766.13
Positions
Dream Esports
CC5
ccxxoo22
Event PnL
-$138.54
Volume
$1,731.77
Positions
Dream Esports
386
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$464.40
Volume
$1,432.69
Positions
Dream Esports
BA7
BajaBlaster
Event PnL
-$23.01
Volume
$1,320.57
Positions
Capybara Esports
FA8
FaithInTheLord
Event PnL
+$3.25
Volume
$650.00
Positions
Dream Esports

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 5,000% and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $52.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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