LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

$370.1K Vol
Aug 18, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
DN SOOPers Challengers 52.5%
Nongshim Esports Academy 30.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 8,850%, while Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $370.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $278.3K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (8,850%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 8,850% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,850¢.
  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%), Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%), and Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Penta Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$278.3K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games8850.0%$2.7K8850¢-8750¢
3Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
21Match Winner4250.0%$193.3K4250¢-4150¢
22Game 2 Winner650.0%$139.5K650¢-550¢
23Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)5.0%$2.8K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers Challengers and Nongshim Esports Academy in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group, initially scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers Challengers" if DN SOOPers Challengers win the match against Nongshim Esports Academy.

This market will resolve to "Nongshim Esports Academy" if Nongshim Esports Academy win the match against DN SOOPers Challengers.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 18, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 18, 2026

  • 08:36 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $3.25

    Bought 5.71 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner at 0.57

  • 08:35 AM
    ARarahbo
    $6.27

    Bought 11 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner at 0.57

  • 08:33 AM
    0X0x82321CeDb5f496B5d8D1490AA5a851E23E287606-1777611835931
    $44.20

    Bought 96.086955 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner at 0.46

  • 08:32 AM
    SUsuntori
    $9.52

    Bought 16.701753 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner at 0.57

  • 08:31 AM
    LOLostly
    $20.77

    Sold 296.68 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner at 0.07

  • 08:31 AM
    RERemesal
    $15.00

    Bought 16.304337 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner at 0.92

  • 08:31 AM
    FEfentyu21
    $4.80

    Sold 60 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner at 0.08

  • 08:31 AM
    MRmrgiga369
    $1.25

    Sold 3.28 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.38

  • 08:31 AM
    ZUzusu
    $1.00

    Bought 1.666665 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.6

  • 08:31 AM
    PEPeng7
    $385.09

    Bought 418.576075 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner at 0.92

  • 08:31 AM
    BAbalaxx
    $60.00

    Bought 64.516128 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner at 0.93

  • 08:31 AM
    TATA.Trade
    $13.98

    Bought 82.222221 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner at 0.17

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

TA1
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
-$611.10
Volume
$33,624.05
Positions
DN SOOPers ChallengersDN SOOPers ChallengersDN SOOPers Challengers
BB2
BBQChickenisthebesttt
Event PnL
+$628.65
Volume
$29,999.76
Positions
Nongshim Esports AcademyDN SOOPers Challengers
ST3
StasPanda
Event PnL
+$460.48
Volume
$29,796.83
Positions
Nongshim Esports Academy
SU4
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
-$1,969.86
Volume
$15,287.88
Positions
DN SOOPers Challengers
SU5
suntori
Event PnL
+$3.77
Volume
$12,860.96
Positions
Nongshim Esports AcademyOver
AL6
alpheclabs
Event PnL
+$1,516.14
Volume
$12,557.34
Positions
Nongshim Esports AcademyDN SOOPers Challengers
CF7
0xcF60…6847
Event PnL
-$890.28
Volume
$11,789.00
Positions
DN SOOPers Challengers
LZ8
lzh1
Event PnL
+$278.50
Volume
$10,819.92
Positions
Nongshim Esports Academy

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 8,850% and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $370.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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