LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

$69.7K Vol
Aug 17, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Dplus KIA Challengers 58.5%
KT Rolster Challengers 41.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,850% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 5,750%, while Game 1 Winner sits in third with 5,650%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $69.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (5,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $62.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 2 Winner (5,750%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 5,750% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,750¢.
  • Game 1 Winner (5,650%): Sitting in third place with a 5,650% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%), and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner5850.0%$62.2K5850¢-5750¢
2Game 2 Winner5750.0%$465750¢-5650¢
3Game 1 Winner5650.0%$4.3K5650¢-5550¢
4Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
19O/U 2.5 Games4850.0%$2.7K4850¢-4750¢
20Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)3250.0%$6613250¢-3150¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
22Any Player Penta Kill800.0%800¢-700¢
23Any Player Penta Kill800.0%800¢-700¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA Challengers and KT Rolster Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group, initially scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win the match against KT Rolster Challengers.

This market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers" if KT Rolster Challengers win the match against Dplus KIA Challengers.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 17, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 16, 2026

  • 08:30 PM
    QOqomroca
    $4.22

    Bought 7.152541 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.59

  • 08:30 PM
    SHShaolinTEA
    $24.00

    Bought 57.142856 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.42

  • 08:26 PM
    0X0x8d10b39465225d7a881b56b4Af8354997f0C940A-1767024582634
    $13.81

    Bought 23.406778 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.59

  • 08:26 PM
    QOqomroca
    $42.79

    Bought 72.525421 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.59

  • 08:26 PM
    FOFogCaster
    $142.62

    Sold 245.9 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.58

  • 08:20 PM
    KAkakapipi2026
    $2.11

    Bought 5.023808 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.42

  • 08:20 PM
    0X0x8d10b39465225d7a881b56b4Af8354997f0C940A-1767024582634
    $3.62

    Bought 8.619046 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.42

  • 08:20 PM
    FOFollower2
    $2.60

    Bought 6.341462 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.41

  • 08:20 PM
    PUpups10
    $1.00

    Bought 2.439023 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.41

  • 08:20 PM
    $12.80

    Bought 31.21 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.41

  • 08:20 PM
    $4.69

    Bought 11.166665 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.42

  • 08:20 PM
    PUpups10
    $1.00

    Bought 2.439023 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.41

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

IA1
Iamnobody.Nobody
Event PnL
+$72.39
Volume
$16,536.66
Positions
Dplus KIA Challengers
TH2
thecomplicatedguy
Event PnL
-$71.86
Volume
$14,375.74
Positions
Dplus KIA Challengers
CH3
ChonkyChocolateCake
Event PnL
+$6.02
Volume
$11,241.25
Positions
KT Rolster Challengers
LZ4
lzh1
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
KT Rolster Challengers
FO5
forget4
Event PnL
+$17.78
Volume
$3,999.94
Positions
KT Rolster Challengers
696
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$16.31
Volume
$3,140.25
Positions
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster Challengers
TE7
Terry.CHEN
Event PnL
-$14.82
Volume
$2,965.09
Positions
Dplus KIA Challengers
AM8
am100
Event PnL
+$13.12
Volume
$2,623.60
Positions
KT Rolster Challengers

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,850% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 5,750% and Game 1 Winner at 5,650%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $69.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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