LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

$61.2K Vol
Aug 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Dplus KIA Challengers 58.5%
DN SOOPers Challengers 41.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,850% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 5,650%, while Game 1 Winner sits in third with 5,550%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $61.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (5,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $59.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 2 Winner (5,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 5,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,650¢.
  • Game 1 Winner (5,550%): Sitting in third place with a 5,550% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%), and Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner5850.0%$59.0K5850¢-5750¢
2Game 2 Winner5650.0%$3515650¢-5550¢
3Game 1 Winner5550.0%$8895550¢-5450¢
4Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%$45000¢-4900¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%$45000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20O/U 2.5 Games4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
21Any Player Penta Kill4500.0%$44500¢-4400¢
22Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)3250.0%$9373250¢-3150¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2900.0%2900¢-2800¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA Challengers and DN SOOPers Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win the match against DN SOOPers Challengers.

This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers Challengers" if DN SOOPers Challengers win the match against Dplus KIA Challengers.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 19, 2026

  • 08:40 PM
    0X0x3f7bB7aeE2BED115a761F49660aa2bA43153C392-1783161941593
    $1.00

    Bought 2.631577 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.38

  • 08:37 PM
    CHcharay12
    $4.68

    Bought 12.315788 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.38

  • 08:36 PM
    UNunsuspectingmoose
    $9.88

    Bought 26 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.38

  • 08:33 PM
    $2.15

    Bought 5 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner at 0.43

  • 08:33 PM
    0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027
    $2.52

    Bought 6 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner at 0.42

  • 08:33 PM
    0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027
    $32.68

    Bought 76 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winner at 0.43

  • 08:33 PM
    $2.20

    Bought 5 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winner at 0.44

  • 08:33 PM
    REredcame1
    $2.50

    Bought 6.578946 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.38

  • 08:32 PM
    ALalpha5ii-copybestbot
    $4.92

    Bought 12.947367 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.38

  • 08:32 PM
    $1.90

    Bought 5 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.38

  • 08:32 PM
    0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027
    $1,190.16

    Bought 3132 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.38

  • 08:00 PM
    2828usa
    $10.00

    Bought 15.873013 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.63

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

ST1
StasPanda
Event PnL
-$11.11
Volume
$51,687.41
Positions
Dplus KIA Challengers
TA2
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$478.12
Volume
$14,182.29
Positions
DN SOOPers ChallengersDN SOOPers ChallengersDN SOOPers Challengers
DR3
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
DN SOOPers Challengers
AM4
am100
Event PnL
+$170.03
Volume
$7,665.86
Positions
DN SOOPers ChallengersDN SOOPers Challengers
VI5
vibing123
Event PnL
+$36.15
Volume
$7,227.67
Positions
DN SOOPers Challengers
076
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$186.83
Volume
$5,337.97
Positions
DN SOOPers Challengers
9E7
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
+$9.70
Volume
$3,815.19
Positions
DN SOOPers Challengers
698
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$110.91
Volume
$3,214.00
Positions
DN SOOPers ChallengersDN SOOPers ChallengersDN SOOPers Challengers

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,850% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 5,650% and Game 1 Winner at 5,550%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $61.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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