LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

$80.9K Vol
Aug 10, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
LYON 90.5%
Dignitas 9.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,050% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? follows in second place at 6,150%, while Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? sits in third with 6,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $80.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) (7,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $29.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (6,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? maintains a 6,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,150¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (6,000%): Sitting in third place with a 6,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,150%), Any Player Penta Kill (5,150%), and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay a Dragon are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)7050.0%$29.5K7050¢-6950¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?6150.0%$1006150¢-6050¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?6000.0%$946000¢-5900¢
4Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
5Any Player Penta Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
6Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
20First Blood in Game 2?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
21First Blood in Game 1?4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4800.0%$44800¢-4700¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4550.0%$1714550¢-4450¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?3600.0%$63600¢-3500¢
26O/U 2.5 Games2750.0%$6252750¢-2650¢
27Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
28Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
29Game 1 Winner1850.0%$6511850¢-1750¢
30Game 2 Winner1850.0%$2941850¢-1750¢
31Match Winner950.0%$57.9K950¢-850¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Dignitas and LYON in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 9 at 4:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Dignitas" if Dignitas win the match against LYON.

This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Dignitas.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 9, 2026

  • 08:02 AM
    AOaodueh
    $1.05

    Bought 5.26 Dignitas for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON - Game 1 Winner at 0.2

  • 08:00 AM
    FOforgedinlol
    $4.50

    Bought 5 LYON for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.9

  • 07:48 AM
    $6.68

    Bought 21.548386 Dignitas for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) at 0.31

  • 07:05 AM
    0X0x9BD22D48c7a353d2bF888226b2b74ba0790cB613-1778979967613
    $100.00

    Bought 111.11111 LYON for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.9

  • 06:34 AM
    0X0x077ec3aecc9F1ed50DF14c9d76Fd24199cC31fB0-1769433043434
    $1.00

    Bought 1.219511 LYON for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON - Game 2 Winner at 0.82

  • 06:34 AM
    0X0x077ec3aecc9F1ed50DF14c9d76Fd24199cC31fB0-1769433043434
    $1.00

    Bought 1.204817 LYON for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON - Game 1 Winner at 0.83

  • 06:34 AM
    0X0x077ec3aecc9F1ed50DF14c9d76Fd24199cC31fB0-1769433043434
    $1.00

    Bought 1.11111 LYON for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.9

  • 06:05 AM
    QUquavoo
    $2.86

    Bought 26 Dignitas for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.11

  • 06:05 AM
    QUquavoo
    $7.15

    Bought 65 Dignitas for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.11

  • 06:04 AM
    QUquavoo
    $3.96

    Bought 36 Dignitas for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.11

  • 06:00 AM
    QUquavoo
    $53.46

    Bought 486 Dignitas for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.11

  • 06:00 AM
    QUquavoo
    $3.96

    Bought 36 Dignitas for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.11

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

RE1
retroactivesource
Event PnL
-$170.60
Volume
$36,649.82
Positions
LYON
LA2
Lakersfan111
Event PnL
-$87.46
Volume
$22,876.18
Positions
LYONDignitasLYON+1
AN3
Anjun
Event PnL
+$111.11
Volume
$22,222.00
Positions
Dignitas
QU4
quavoo
Event PnL
-$4.24
Volume
$16,638.00
Positions
DignitasUnder
AT5
AtlanticTrading
Event PnL
+$132.77
Volume
$8,910.85
Positions
LYON
VI6
vibing123
Event PnL
+$29.40
Volume
$5,999.86
Positions
LYON
AB7
ablacksnicker
Event PnL
-$20.56
Volume
$4,387.00
Positions
DignitasLYON
CI8
cigarettes
Event PnL
+$19.00
Volume
$3,800.00
Positions
Dignitas

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season"?

As of the latest update, Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,050% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 6,150% and Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 6,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $80.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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