LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

$68.2K Vol
Aug 24, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
FlyQuest 75.5%
Dignitas 24.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, First Blood in Game 1? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,350% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor follows in second place at 5,250%, while Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors sits in third with 5,200%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $68.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • First Blood in Game 1? (5,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, First Blood in Game 1? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor maintains a 5,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,250¢.
  • Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,200%): Sitting in third place with a 5,200% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (5,200%), Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,100%), and Any Player Quadra Kill (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1First Blood in Game 1?5350.0%5350¢-5250¢
2Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
3Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)4950.0%$6.3K4950¢-4850¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
15Any Player Penta Kill4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
17Any Player Penta Kill4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
19First Blood in Game 2?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4850.0%$8154850¢-4750¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4300.0%$834300¢-4200¢
25O/U 2.5 Games4150.0%$2.7K4150¢-4050¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?3700.0%$3773700¢-3600¢
27Game 2 Winner3150.0%$4.1K3150¢-3050¢
28Game 1 Winner3050.0%$5.0K3050¢-2950¢
29Match Winner2450.0%$56.4K2450¢-2350¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Dignitas and FlyQuest in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Dignitas" if Dignitas win the match against FlyQuest.

This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Dignitas.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 23, 2026

  • 09:01 AM
    LALaziFTW
    $4.05

    Bought 7.64 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.53

  • 09:01 AM
    0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027
    $119.71

    Bought 254.71 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.47

  • 08:35 AM
    UNunsuspectingmoose
    $10.05

    Bought 15 FlyQuest for LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner at 0.67

  • 08:35 AM
    UNunsuspectingmoose
    $16.32

    Bought 24 FlyQuest for LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner at 0.68

  • 08:34 AM
    UNunsuspectingmoose
    $16.72

    Bought 22 FlyQuest for LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.76

  • 07:29 AM
    ESescklesx
    $1.25

    Bought 5 Dignitas for LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.25

  • 07:00 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.315787 FlyQuest for LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.76

  • 07:00 AM
    HAhaluman
    $5.70

    Bought 7.5 FlyQuest for LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.76

  • 07:00 AM
    LTlthasd
    $22.80

    Bought 30 FlyQuest for LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.76

  • 06:46 AM
    VIVivaaVida
    $1.00

    Bought 1.315787 FlyQuest for LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.76

  • 06:42 AM
    7878v8pzzseh9z
    $1.36

    Bought 1.78947 FlyQuest for LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.76

  • 06:42 AM
    S7s7n6y4emhdc1
    $2.46

    Bought 3.236841 FlyQuest for LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.76

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

TA1
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
-$232.76
Volume
$23,549.16
Positions
FlyQuestFlyQuestFlyQuest+1
EL2
Elaran1993
Event PnL
+$40.30
Volume
$12,565.11
Positions
FlyQuestFlyQuestFlyQuest
BA3
Baosen0412
Event PnL
+$17.86
Volume
$10,560.52
Positions
Dignitas
CA4
CAcap
Event PnL
-$48.43
Volume
$10,409.33
Positions
DignitasDignitasDignitas+1
695
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$26.72
Volume
$10,330.00
Positions
FlyQuestFlyQuestFlyQuest+2
SB6
sbsigner
Event PnL
+$125.99
Volume
$8,398.81
Positions
Dignitas
AM7
am100
Event PnL
-$23.12
Volume
$6,323.23
Positions
FlyQuestFlyQuestFlyQuest+2
VI8
vibing123
Event PnL
+$30.79
Volume
$6,069.11
Positions
FlyQuestFlyQuest

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season"?

As of the latest update, First Blood in Game 1? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,350% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 5,250% and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors at 5,200%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $68.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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