LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

Aug 29, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Cupid Esports 62.0%
Maryville University 38.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,200% chance of winning. Game Handicap: CPD (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) follows in second place at 5,250%, while Odd/Even Total Kills sits in third with 5,100%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (6,200%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,200¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game Handicap: CPD (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) (5,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game Handicap: CPD (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) maintains a 5,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,250¢.
  • Odd/Even Total Kills (5,100%): Sitting in third place with a 5,100% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Odd/Even Total Kills, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Odd/Even Total Kills (5,050%), Game 1 Winner (5,000%), and Game 2 Winner (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 2.5 Games are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner6200.0%6200¢-6100¢
2Game Handicap: CPD (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5)5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
3Odd/Even Total Kills5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
4Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
5Game 1 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Game 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7O/U 2.5 Games5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills4850.0%4850¢-4750¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Cupid Esports and Maryville University in the North American Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Cupid Esports" if Cupid Esports win the match against Maryville University.

This market will resolve to "Maryville University" if Maryville University win the match against Cupid Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,200% win probability, followed by Game Handicap: CPD (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) at 5,250% and Odd/Even Total Kills at 5,100%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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