LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

$63.9K Vol
Aug 31, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Cloud9 74.5%
Shopify Rebellion 25.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,450% chance of winning. Game 1 Winner follows in second place at 6,650%, while Game 2 Winner sits in third with 6,650%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $63.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (7,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $40.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 1 Winner (6,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 1 Winner maintains a 6,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,650¢.
  • Game 2 Winner (6,650%): Sitting in third place with a 6,650% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,300%), Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,300%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,150%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner7450.0%$40.2K7450¢-7350¢
2Game 1 Winner6650.0%$5.9K6650¢-6550¢
3Game 2 Winner6650.0%$4.6K6650¢-6550¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6300.0%6300¢-6200¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon6300.0%6300¢-6200¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon6150.0%6150¢-6050¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?5900.0%5900¢-5800¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?5750.0%5750¢-5650¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17First Blood in Game 1?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
18Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)4750.0%$3.1K4750¢-4650¢
19Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4200.0%$8.0K4200¢-4100¢
20O/U 2.5 Games4150.0%$3884150¢-4050¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4150.0%$1.8K4150¢-4050¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
28Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
29Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against Shopify Rebellion.

This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Cloud9.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 30, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 30, 2026

  • 09:34 AM
    TEtemjjen
    $205.00

    Bought 500 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 09:31 AM
    SCsc4t
    $1.41

    Bought 2.311474 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.61

  • 09:31 AM
    AMam100
    $166.90

    Bought 278.16 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.6

  • 09:31 AM
    TEtemjjen
    $205.00

    Bought 500 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 09:30 AM
    SCsc4t
    $1.10

    Bought 1.833332 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.6

  • 09:30 AM
    TEtemjjen
    $49.20

    Bought 120 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 09:28 AM
    TEtemjjen
    $210.00

    Bought 500 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.42

  • 09:27 AM
    HOHopelessPlayer
    $7.92

    Bought 12.983605 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.61

  • 09:27 AM
    EVevansranalle
    $205.00

    Bought 500 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 09:18 AM
    SCsc4t
    $1.30

    Bought 2.131146 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.61

  • 09:18 AM
    MCmczippo
    $134.06

    Bought 326.975608 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 09:18 AM
    HOHopelessPlayer
    $5.78

    Bought 9.475407 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.61

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

TA1
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$141.04
Volume
$27,997.68
Positions
Shopify RebellionShopify RebellionShopify Rebellion
EL2
Elaran1993
Event PnL
+$0.38
Volume
$20,000.38
Positions
Cloud9
693
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
-$14.96
Volume
$8,217.99
Positions
UnderShopify RebellionUnder
CS4
csgamer11
Event PnL
-$23.27
Volume
$4,654.78
Positions
Cloud9Cloud9
AM5
am100
Event PnL
+$27.84
Volume
$4,383.45
Positions
UnderShopify RebellionUnder
DU6
Duratio
Event PnL
+$10.51
Volume
$3,999.96
Positions
Shopify Rebellion
SC7
Schrodinger1887
Event PnL
+$13.09
Volume
$2,618.00
Positions
Cloud9
5B8
0x5b62…1989
Event PnL
-$12.50
Volume
$2,500.00
Positions
Cloud9Cloud9Cloud9+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,450% win probability, followed by Game 1 Winner at 6,650% and Game 2 Winner at 6,650%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $63.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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