LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

$109.1K Vol
Aug 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
LYON 64.5%
Cloud9 35.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,350% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 6,300%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 6,300%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $109.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,300%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 6,300% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,300¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,300%): Sitting in third place with a 6,300% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (6,300%), Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? (6,300%), and Any Player Quadra Kill (5,800%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like First Blood in Game 1? are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon6350.0%6350¢-6250¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon6300.0%6300¢-6200¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon6300.0%6300¢-6200¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?6300.0%$4466300¢-6200¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?6300.0%6300¢-6200¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5800.0%5800¢-5700¢
7First Blood in Game 1?5650.0%5650¢-5550¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
10First Blood in Game 2?5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15O/U 2.5 Games4550.0%$4014550¢-4450¢
16Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4450.0%$1.7K4450¢-4350¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4400.0%$5.2K4400¢-4300¢
18Game 1 Winner4050.0%$5374050¢-3950¢
19Game 2 Winner4050.0%$2194050¢-3950¢
20Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)3850.0%$5.1K3850¢-3750¢
21Match Winner3350.0%$95.5K3350¢-3250¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?3050.0%3050¢-2950¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
29Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
30Any Player Penta Kill1200.0%1200¢-1100¢
31Any Player Penta Kill750.0%750¢-650¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and LYON in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against LYON.

This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Cloud9.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 29, 2026

  • 09:37 AM
    PIpirate06
    $5.87

    Bought 13.04 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.45

  • 09:31 AM
    SCsc4t
    $2.13

    Bought 3.55 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.6

  • 09:30 AM
    HOHopelessPlayer
    $6.07

    Bought 10.116665 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.6

  • 09:30 AM
    AMam100
    $230.47

    Bought 390.62 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.59

  • 09:19 AM
    OGoG8hBhUFYA4208dl
    $4.99

    Bought 10.847825 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.46

  • 09:12 AM
    ALAllent-tan
    $73.00

    Bought 158.695651 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.46

  • 09:11 AM
    ALAllent-tan
    $70.08

    Bought 159.264089 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.44

  • 09:08 AM
    ALalbedong430
    $38.34

    Bought 93.512194 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 09:07 AM
    DCdc8383
    $2.93

    Bought 7.14 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 09:07 AM
    ANandersonadn10
    $14.30

    Bought 34.88 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 09:07 AM
    MAmamei1212
    $130.38

    Bought 318 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 09:07 AM
    DWdwedwd
    $9.44

    Bought 23.02 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SI1
SineNooneEI
Event PnL
-$75.00
Volume
$15,000.00
Positions
Cloud9
DR2
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
LYON
VI3
vibing123
Event PnL
+$18.20
Volume
$8,049.85
Positions
LYON
MA4
MagicalJourney
Event PnL
+$23.56
Volume
$6,518.37
Positions
LYON
JA5
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
-$21.73
Volume
$4,346.00
Positions
Cloud9
696
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$6.62
Volume
$3,594.06
Positions
UnderUnderUnder
JI7
jizzbucket57
Event PnL
+$13.46
Volume
$2,691.87
Positions
LYON
ST8
Stickman22
Event PnL
+$3.47
Volume
$2,499.99
Positions
LYON

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams Slay a Dragon leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,350% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 6,300% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 6,300%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $109.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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