LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

$547.6K Vol
Aug 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Cloud9 97.6%
Disguised 2.4%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Match Winner sits in third with 9,300%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $547.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $125.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Match Winner (9,300%): Sitting in third place with a 9,300% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Match Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? (5,250%), Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (5,250%), and Odd/Even Total Kills (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like First Blood in Game 1? are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$125.0K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$14.6K9995¢-9895¢
3Match Winner9300.0%$264.4K9300¢-9200¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5250.0%$3895250¢-5150¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5250.0%$1835250¢-5150¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%$55050¢-4950¢
7First Blood in Game 1?5050.0%$705050¢-4950¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?5050.0%$55050¢-4950¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$1695000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$1695000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$1695000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?5000.0%$495000¢-4900¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30First Blood in Game 2?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
31Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?4950.0%$104950¢-4850¢
32Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?4950.0%$104950¢-4850¢
33Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?4950.0%$54950¢-4850¢
34Game 2 Winner5.0%$356.7K95¢
35Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)5.0%$30.9K95¢
36Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?5.0%$8695¢
37Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?5.0%$1.7K95¢
38Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5.0%$40995¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 8 at 4:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against Disguised.

This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win the match against Cloud9.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 8, 2026

  • 08:38 PM
    PIpipipi150
    $5.00

    Bought 5 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 1

  • 08:31 PM
    PIpipipi150
    $38.11

    Bought 38.49 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.99

  • 08:31 PM
    BIbiuser
    $46.71

    Bought 48.15965 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.97

  • 08:30 PM
    BIbiuser
    $48.49

    Bought 49.99 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.97

  • 08:30 PM
    BIbiuser
    $34.29

    Bought 34.99 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? at 0.98

  • 08:28 PM
    REReformedx
    $14.25

    Bought 15 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? at 0.95

  • 08:27 PM
    REReformedx
    $18.00

    Bought 40 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.45

  • 08:24 PM
    CTCTRL-C-CTRL-V
    $5.00

    Bought 6.172838 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner at 0.81

  • 08:23 PM
    CTCTRL-C-CTRL-V
    $5.00

    Bought 6.172838 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner at 0.81

  • 08:23 PM
    IMimake1mil
    $22.41

    Bought 27 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner at 0.83

  • 08:23 PM
    HAHarryRitter
    $116.08

    Bought 139.86 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner at 0.83

  • 08:23 PM
    1515perces
    $22.41

    Bought 27 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner at 0.83

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

F21
0xF201…4616
Event PnL
-$103.80
Volume
$13,783.09
Positions
Disguised
AM2
am100
Event PnL
+$30.24
Volume
$12,263.85
Positions
OverUnderDisguised+2
AB3
ablacksnicker
Event PnL
-$4.08
Volume
$11,264.47
Positions
Cloud9DisguisedOver
AN4
Anjun
Event PnL
-$1,145.36
Volume
$10,412.36
Positions
Disguised
MI5
MissingJoy
Event PnL
+$86.81
Volume
$9,802.08
Positions
Cloud9
TR6
Trungl
Event PnL
+$990.00
Volume
$9,000.00
Positions
Cloud9
MI7
minji
Event PnL
+$183.09
Volume
$8,663.71
Positions
Cloud9
FE8
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$105.71
Volume
$7,526.91
Positions
Cloud9Cloud9

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Match Winner at 9,300%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $547.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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