
LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Match Winner sits in third with 9,300%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $547.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $125.0K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- Match Winner (9,300%): Sitting in third place with a 9,300% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Match Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? (5,250%), Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (5,250%), and Odd/Even Total Kills (5,050%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like First Blood in Game 1? are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 9995.0% | $125.0K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | O/U 2.5 Games | 9995.0% | $14.6K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Match Winner | 9300.0% | $264.4K | 9300¢ | -9200¢ |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 5250.0% | $389 | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 5250.0% | $183 | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 6 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5050.0% | $5 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 7 | First Blood in Game 1? | 5050.0% | $70 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 5050.0% | $5 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | $169 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | $169 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | $169 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | $49 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | First Blood in Game 2? | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 31 | Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 32 | Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1? | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 33 | Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? | 4950.0% | $5 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 34 | Game 2 Winner | 5.0% | $356.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 35 | Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) | 5.0% | $30.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 36 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 5.0% | $86 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 37 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 5.0% | $1.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 38 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 5.0% | $409 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 8 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against Disguised.
This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win the match against Cloud9.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 8, 2026
- 08:38 PMPIpipipi150$5.00
Bought 5 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 1
- 08:31 PMPIpipipi150$38.11
Bought 38.49 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.99
- 08:31 PMBIbiuser$46.71
Bought 48.15965 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.97
- 08:30 PMBIbiuser$48.49
Bought 49.99 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.97
- 08:30 PMBIbiuser$34.29
Bought 34.99 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? at 0.98
- 08:28 PMREReformedx$14.25
Bought 15 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? at 0.95
- 08:27 PMREReformedx$18.00
Bought 40 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.45
- 08:24 PMCTCTRL-C-CTRL-V$5.00
Bought 6.172838 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner at 0.81
- 08:23 PMCTCTRL-C-CTRL-V$5.00
Bought 6.172838 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner at 0.81
- 08:23 PMIMimake1mil$22.41
Bought 27 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner at 0.83
- 08:23 PMHAHarryRitter$116.08
Bought 139.86 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner at 0.83
- 08:23 PM1515perces$22.41
Bought 27 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner at 0.83
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season"?
As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Match Winner at 9,300%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $547.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
