
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,600% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? follows in second place at 5,600%, while Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors sits in third with 5,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $139.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? (5,600%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,600¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $254 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? (5,600%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? maintains a 5,600% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,600¢.
- Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,050%): Sitting in third place with a 5,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%), and Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Penta Kill are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 5600.0% | $254 | 5600¢ | -5500¢ |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 5600.0% | $25 | 5600¢ | -5500¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | First Blood in Game 1? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | First Blood in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 22 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 23 | O/U 2.5 Games | 4450.0% | $587 | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 24 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 4300.0% | $139 | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 25 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 4200.0% | $70 | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 26 | Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) | 4150.0% | $60.0K | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 27 | Game 2 Winner | 3750.0% | $206 | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 28 | Game 1 Winner | 3650.0% | $42.8K | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 29 | Match Winner | 3050.0% | $54.4K | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 5 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against Nongshim Red Force.
This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win the match against HANJIN BRION.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 4, 2026
- 08:22 PMMEMemphis7$9.60
Bought 30 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.32
- 08:12 PMMAmamofaker2$5.00
Bought 8.064515 Nongshim Red Force for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner at 0.62
- 08:12 PMVIVictorGouvea$10.00
Bought 25.641024 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner at 0.39
- 08:09 PMNOnoldus$50.00
Bought 156.25 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.32
- 08:09 PM0X0xA29Eb2A6b80877200AA3f63777Bb395cE3657796-1772079645456$5.00
Bought 15.625 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.32
- 08:07 PMBABatrak$10.00
Bought 31.25 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.32
- 08:05 PMCHCheyennennnnfd$28.00
Bought 70 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? at 0.4
- 08:05 PMBIBigPunch$9.63
Bought 24.075 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? at 0.4
- 08:00 PMFOforgedinlol$3.45
Bought 5 Nongshim Red Force for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.69
- 07:56 PMNFNFTNerd420$8.00
Bought 17.391303 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.46
- 07:56 PMZLzlSobrinho$10.00
Bought 31.25 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.32
- 07:55 PM——$3.33
Bought 10.40625 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.32
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group"?
As of the latest update, Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,600% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 5,600% and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors at 5,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $139.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
