LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

$139.8K Vol
Aug 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Nongshim Red Force 69.5%
HANJIN BRION 30.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,600% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? follows in second place at 5,600%, while Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors sits in third with 5,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $139.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? (5,600%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,600¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $254 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? (5,600%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? maintains a 5,600% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,600¢.
  • Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,050%): Sitting in third place with a 5,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%), and Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Penta Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?5600.0%$2545600¢-5500¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5600.0%$255600¢-5500¢
3Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
4Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
23O/U 2.5 Games4450.0%$5874450¢-4350¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?4300.0%$1394300¢-4200¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?4200.0%$704200¢-4100¢
26Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)4150.0%$60.0K4150¢-4050¢
27Game 2 Winner3750.0%$2063750¢-3650¢
28Game 1 Winner3650.0%$42.8K3650¢-3550¢
29Match Winner3050.0%$54.4K3050¢-2950¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 5 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against Nongshim Red Force.

This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win the match against HANJIN BRION.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 4, 2026

  • 08:22 PM
    MEMemphis7
    $9.60

    Bought 30 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.32

  • 08:12 PM
    MAmamofaker2
    $5.00

    Bought 8.064515 Nongshim Red Force for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner at 0.62

  • 08:12 PM
    VIVictorGouvea
    $10.00

    Bought 25.641024 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner at 0.39

  • 08:09 PM
    NOnoldus
    $50.00

    Bought 156.25 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.32

  • 08:09 PM
    0X0xA29Eb2A6b80877200AA3f63777Bb395cE3657796-1772079645456
    $5.00

    Bought 15.625 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.32

  • 08:07 PM
    BABatrak
    $10.00

    Bought 31.25 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.32

  • 08:05 PM
    CHCheyennennnnfd
    $28.00

    Bought 70 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? at 0.4

  • 08:05 PM
    BIBigPunch
    $9.63

    Bought 24.075 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? at 0.4

  • 08:00 PM
    FOforgedinlol
    $3.45

    Bought 5 Nongshim Red Force for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.69

  • 07:56 PM
    NFNFTNerd420
    $8.00

    Bought 17.391303 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.46

  • 07:56 PM
    ZLzlSobrinho
    $10.00

    Bought 31.25 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.32

  • 07:55 PM
    $3.33

    Bought 10.40625 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.32

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

TA1
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$34.10
Volume
$27,410.92
Positions
HANJIN BRIONHANJIN BRION
1M2
1moretimetowin
Event PnL
-$100.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
Nongshim Red Force
EL3
Elaran1993
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$9,999.97
Positions
HANJIN BRION
MA4
matanovik
Event PnL
-$48.87
Volume
$9,774.00
Positions
Nongshim Red Force
FO5
forget4
Event PnL
+$21.08
Volume
$4,215.75
Positions
HANJIN BRION
BE6
berbisminsk
Event PnL
-$20.26
Volume
$4,052.70
Positions
Nongshim Red Force
GE7
Gengfrauds
Event PnL
+$6.07
Volume
$3,662.02
Positions
Nongshim Red ForceNongshim Red Force
688
0x6840…4204
Event PnL
-$14.31
Volume
$2,863.00
Positions
Nongshim Red Force

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group"?

As of the latest update, Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,600% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 5,600% and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors at 5,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $139.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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