LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

$62K Vol
Aug 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
BNK FEARX 55.5%
HANJIN BRION 44.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,500% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 6,500%, while Any Player Quadra Kill sits in third with 5,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $62K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 6,500% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,500¢.
  • Any Player Quadra Kill (5,350%): Sitting in third place with a 5,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Any Player Quadra Kill, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,250%), Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,200%), and Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
3Any Player Quadra Kill5350.0%5350¢-5250¢
4Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
5Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5050.0%$855050¢-4950¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4950.0%$974950¢-4850¢
13O/U 2.5 Games4850.0%$224850¢-4750¢
14First Blood in Game 1?4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
15Game 2 Winner4750.0%$104750¢-4650¢
16Game 1 Winner4650.0%$884650¢-4550¢
17Match Winner4450.0%$52.7K4450¢-4350¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon3950.0%3950¢-3850¢
19Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)2950.0%$9.0K2950¢-2850¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
26Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
27Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
28Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?2350.0%2350¢-2250¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?2300.0%2300¢-2200¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against BNK FEARX.

This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against HANJIN BRION.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 20, 2026

  • 08:43 PM
    RAraiztes
    $5.00

    Bought 10.20408 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.49

  • 08:35 PM
    MAMarlian
    $50.00

    Bought 84.74576 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.59

  • 08:34 PM
    MAMarlian
    $50.00

    Bought 87.719297 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.57

  • 08:19 PM
    UKUkc22
    $4.50

    Bought 10 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.45

  • 08:15 PM
    TITIppi88k
    $10.00

    Bought 17.85714 BNK FEARX for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.56

  • 08:11 PM
    SUsukez
    $40.00

    Bought 88.888887 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.45

  • 08:06 PM
    $7.84

    Bought 14 BNK FEARX for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.56

  • 08:04 PM
    $2.16

    Bought 4.8 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.45

  • 08:04 PM
    LOloloansonlolo
    $5.00

    Bought 11.11111 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.45

  • 08:04 PM
    CSCSBBB
    $8.00

    Bought 17.777776 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.45

  • 08:02 PM
    0X0x1610DB79f753a80207E1d66716be9E91E627AE49-1778875286261
    $11,795.23

    Bought 21062.91 BNK FEARX for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.56

  • 08:00 PM
    FOforgedinlol
    $25.00

    Bought 44.64 BNK FEARX for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.56

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

EL1
Elaran1993
Event PnL
+$120.15
Volume
$24,015.10
Positions
BNK FEARXBNK FEARXBNK FEARX
162
0x1610…6261
Event PnL
-$105.29
Volume
$21,062.91
Positions
BNK FEARX
BB3
BBQChickenisthebesttt
Event PnL
-$100.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
HANJIN BRION
LA4
Lakersfan111
Event PnL
+$62.79
Volume
$18,803.40
Positions
HANJIN BRIONHANJIN BRION
795
0x7986…3927
Event PnL
+$50.66
Volume
$10,131.27
Positions
HANJIN BRION
EG6
egame123
Event PnL
+$23.00
Volume
$4,642.04
Positions
BNK FEARX
9F7
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
-$43.80
Volume
$4,380.00
Positions
BNK FEARX
FO8
forget4
Event PnL
-$20.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
HANJIN BRION

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams Slay a Dragon leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,500% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 6,500% and Any Player Quadra Kill at 5,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $62K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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