LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier

$968.6K Vol
Aug 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Kiwoom DRX 100.0%
HANJIN BRION 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $968.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $408.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%), Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%), and Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Penta Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$408.0K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$14.6K9995¢-9895¢
3Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
21Game 2 Winner5.0%$500.0K95¢
22Match Winner5.0%$724.8K95¢
23Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)5.0%$8.9K95¢
24Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)5.0%$595¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between HANJIN BRION and Kiwoom DRX in the KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for August 4 at 6:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against Kiwoom DRX.

This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win the match against HANJIN BRION.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 4, 2026

  • 08:28 AM
    EIEightTen.1995
    $20.00

    Bought 31.746029 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier at 0.63

  • 08:24 AM
    TWtw0hnepixeL
    $1.00

    Bought 1.53846 HANJIN BRION for Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) at 0.65

  • 08:10 AM
    ZIZIMA5
    $5.28

    Bought 10.99 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.48

  • 08:09 AM
    ZIZIMA5
    $26.00

    Bought 55.32 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.47

  • 08:07 AM
    IWIwoleu
    $1.75

    Bought 5 Kiwoom DRX for Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) at 0.35

  • 08:07 AM
    HOHoing
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5873 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier at 0.63

  • 08:06 AM
    ZZzzaqq2
    $9.87

    Bought 21 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.47

  • 08:05 AM
    HYHyunglovehisfam
    $2.00

    Bought 5.263156 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier at 0.38

  • 08:05 AM
    ABabcxasd
    $2.00

    Bought 5.263156 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier at 0.38

  • 07:44 AM
    LELefernix
    $1.95

    Sold 3.68 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.53

  • 07:37 AM
    HYHyunglovehisfam
    $5.00

    Bought 13.157893 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier at 0.38

  • 07:35 AM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $2.00

    Bought 5.263156 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier at 0.38

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

TA1
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
-$728.74
Volume
$45,502.86
Positions
HANJIN BRIONHANJIN BRIONHANJIN BRION+1
EL2
elizabeth.ethcome
Event PnL
-$175.00
Volume
$19,999.97
Positions
HANJIN BRIONHANJIN BRION
TH3
ThornyDevil
Event PnL
+$97.26
Volume
$16,918.99
Positions
HANJIN BRION
JT4
jtwyslljy
Event PnL
+$155.02
Volume
$15,000.00
Positions
HANJIN BRION
SK5
Skyfker
Event PnL
+$25.00
Volume
$14,999.97
Positions
Kiwoom DRXKiwoom DRX
LZ6
lzh1
Event PnL
+$447.92
Volume
$12,971.06
Positions
Kiwoom DRX
DI7
Divinev
Event PnL
-$103.16
Volume
$11,018.77
Positions
HANJIN BRIONHANJIN BRION
3E8
0x3e67…3948
Event PnL
+$250.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Kiwoom DRX

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $968.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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