RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD - More Markets

$378.1K Vol
Aug 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 67.5%
Under 32.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 50.5% chance of winning. Both Teams to Score in Second Half follows in second place at 25.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $378.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (50.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 51¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $27.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams to Score in Second Half (25.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams to Score in Second Half maintains a 25.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 26¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score50.5%$27.0K51¢50¢
2Both Teams to Score in Second Half25.5%$7426¢75¢

Result Rules

More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for August 16 at 1:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 50.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 35.1%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -15.4%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score50.5%35.1%-15.4%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half25.5%25.0%-0.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 16, 2026

  • 08:03 AM
    BOBobbyBakedBeans
    $46.80

    Bought 65 Under for RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.72

  • 06:18 AM
    IZizowooi-naver
    $5.03

    Bought 6.45 Over for RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 0.5 at 0.78

  • 06:09 AM
    BOBobbyBakedBeans
    $26.46

    Bought 42 Under for RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 at 0.63

  • 05:59 AM
    33338383833
    $103.66

    Bought 146 Over for RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5 at 0.71

  • 05:52 AM
    FIFidubitBot
    $5.39

    Sold 7.7 Over for RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5 at 0.7

  • 05:52 AM
    FIFidubitBot
    $5.39

    Sold 7 Levante UD for Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5) at 0.77

  • 05:39 AM
    0X0xb5527654d309c6617addabbb64e47931cf35b70c-1783406016141
    $8.92

    Bought 17.490195 Yes for RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score at 0.51

  • 05:15 AM
    FIFidubitBot
    $11.55

    Sold 15 Under for RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5 at 0.77

  • 05:01 AM
    BOBobbyBakedBeans
    $12.09

    Bought 39 Under for RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 at 0.31

  • 04:57 AM
    0X0x99933B70c197Dd24b59120296d3746F2b0b2C2AF-1776877718503
    $1.00

    Bought 1.204817 Under for RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 2.5 at 0.83

  • 04:56 AM
    0X0x99933B70c197Dd24b59120296d3746F2b0b2C2AF-1776877718503
    $1.00

    Bought 1.28205 Under for RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5 at 0.78

  • 04:55 AM
    CHchuzihang131
    $220.00

    Bought 431.372548 Yes for RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score at 0.51

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

ZH1
zhouruifa
Event PnL
-$391.37
Volume
$79,999.49
Positions
Under
SW2
swisstony
Event PnL
+$206.56
Volume
$69,660.62
Positions
OverUnderOver+19
PR3
predictionlegend
Event PnL
+$549.65
Volume
$48,138.94
Positions
Over
GO4
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$33.62
Volume
$29,429.74
Positions
OverUnderUnder+5
QU5
quavoo
Event PnL
-$85.74
Volume
$20,106.00
Positions
UnderYes
VE6
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$4.81
Volume
$10,956.93
Positions
UnderOverUnder+2
SU7
suntori
Event PnL
-$51.01
Volume
$10,502.17
Positions
UnderOverYes+2
588
0x5811…6071
Event PnL
+$3.60
Volume
$8,584.58
Positions
UnderOverUnder+5

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 50.5% win probability, followed by Both Teams to Score in Second Half at 25.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $378.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 50.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 35.1%, a negative EV Gap of -15.4% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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