Paju Frontier FC vs. Seongnam Ilhwa

$62.7K Vol
Aug 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Yes 72.0%
No 28.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Paju Frontier FC vs. Seongnam Ilhwa”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Draw (Paju Frontier FC vs. Seongnam Ilhwa) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 30.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $62.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Draw (Paju Frontier FC vs. Seongnam Ilhwa) (30.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Draw (Paju Frontier FC vs. Seongnam Ilhwa) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 31¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $4.8K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Draw (Paju Frontier FC vs. Seongnam Ilhwa)30.5%$4.8K31¢70¢

Result Rules

This event is for the upcoming K League 2 game, scheduled for Sunday, August 16, 2026 between Paju Frontier FC and Seongnam Ilhwa.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Draw (Paju Frontier FC vs. Seongnam Ilhwa) as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 30.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 31.7% — yielding an impressive +1.2% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Draw (Paju Frontier FC vs. Seongnam Ilhwa)Best EV30.5%31.7%+1.2%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 16, 2026

  • 08:25 AM
    SGsgtmike
    $1.19

    Bought 1.7 No for Will Paju Frontier FC vs. Seongnam Ilhwa end in a draw? at 0.7

  • 08:25 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $9.62

    Bought 30.0625 Yes for Will Paju Frontier FC vs. Seongnam Ilhwa end in a draw? at 0.32

  • 08:05 AM
    0X0x5b32f159AB63433066cd2A6b4A650Ad127423566-1782977247728
    $2.90

    Bought 5 No for Will Seongnam Ilhwa win on 2026-08-16? at 0.58

  • 08:05 AM
    SWswisstony
    $2.85

    Bought 5 No for Will Seongnam Ilhwa win on 2026-08-16? at 0.57

  • 04:53 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $10.47

    Bought 24.348836 Yes for Will Seongnam Ilhwa win on 2026-08-16? at 0.43

  • 03:06 AM
    XXxxbda
    $2.64

    Bought 6 Yes for Will Seongnam Ilhwa win on 2026-08-16? at 0.44

  • 02:15 AM
    0X0xDc7B45e7fd2A01571cb99FE6ADCc86A4E4432274-1782015019279
    $1.00

    Bought 3.225805 Yes for Will Paju Frontier FC vs. Seongnam Ilhwa end in a draw? at 0.31

Aug 15, 2026

  • 11:28 AM
    BAbatiman
    $4.65

    Bought 15 Yes for Will Paju Frontier FC vs. Seongnam Ilhwa end in a draw? at 0.31

Aug 14, 2026

  • 04:26 AM
    $2.21

    Bought 7.366665 Yes for Will Paju Frontier FC vs. Seongnam Ilhwa end in a draw? at 0.3

  • 04:26 AM
    PUpups10
    $1.00

    Bought 3.333332 Yes for Will Paju Frontier FC vs. Seongnam Ilhwa end in a draw? at 0.3

Aug 12, 2026

  • 05:17 PM
    0X0x42cEd960d9Dd51EC777fb38BE95d7D5E2Ab13025-1758832112952
    $2.00

    Bought 6.666665 Yes for Will Paju Frontier FC vs. Seongnam Ilhwa end in a draw? at 0.3

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

GO1
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$0.24
Volume
$24.35
Positions
No
9E2
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$0.24
Volume
$24.35
Positions
Yes
BA3
batiman
Event PnL
-$0.07
Volume
$15.00
Positions
Yes
MR4
mr-sarkozy
Event PnL
+$0.08
Volume
$15.00
Positions
No
BR5
BrunoFernandez8
Event PnL
+$0.09
Volume
$11.70
Positions
NoNo
076
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$0.04
Volume
$7.37
Positions
Yes
RA7
RadioFreeZerg
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$6.67
Positions
No
428
0x42cE…2952
Event PnL
+$0.03
Volume
$6.67
Positions
Yes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Paju Frontier FC vs. Seongnam Ilhwa"?

As of the latest update, Draw (Paju Frontier FC vs. Seongnam Ilhwa) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 30.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $62.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Draw (Paju Frontier FC vs. Seongnam Ilhwa) as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 30.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 31.7% — an Expected Value gap of +1.2%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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