Kai and Speed beat gaming gauntlet within...?

$112.4K Vol
Aug 22, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
36 hours 86.0%
22 hours 52.5%
24 hours 50.5%
20 hours 50.0%
18 hours 43.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Kai and Speed beat gaming gauntlet within...?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 36 hours is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,705% chance of winning. 24 hours follows in second place at 9,650%, while 22 hours sits in third with 9,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $112.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 36 hours (9,705%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 36 hours is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,705¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 24 hours (9,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 24 hours maintains a 9,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,650¢.
  • 22 hours (9,150%): Sitting in third place with a 9,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 22 hours, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 20 hours (7,800%), 18 hours (7,100%), and 16 hours (6,850%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 14 hours are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
136 hours9705.0%$2.4K9705¢-9605¢
224 hours9650.0%$6319650¢-9550¢
322 hours9150.0%$7609150¢-9050¢
420 hours7800.0%$3.1K7800¢-7700¢
518 hours7100.0%$7.7K7100¢-7000¢
616 hours6850.0%$5.2K6850¢-6750¢
714 hours6800.0%$14.8K6800¢-6700¢
812 hours5000.0%$27.0K5000¢-4900¢
910 hours420.0%$52.3K420¢-320¢
108 hours5.0%$20.1K95¢

Result Rules

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed have started streaming a gaming gauntlet on August 20, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to play Roblox, win three Rocket League matches, and secure a Victory Royale in a ranked Fortnite match.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai and Speed complete all three aforementioned objectives of the gauntlet live on stream within the specified duration, as displayed on the on-screen timer on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no on-screen timer is visible at the time of completion, this market will resolve according to the number of hours since August 20, 2026, 2:38 PM ET.

The objectives may be completed in any order.

An objective must be achieved on stream and accepted by Kai and Speed as complete. An objective will not be treated as completed if they void and continue pursuing it.

Only events occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.

If the challenge is cancelled by, abandoned before completion by, or not completed within the specified duration, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the on-screen timer displayed on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Kai and Speed beat gaming gauntlet within...?"?

As of the latest update, 36 hours leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,705% win probability, followed by 24 hours at 9,650% and 22 hours at 9,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $112.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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