S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 13?

「S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 13?」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Up が 9,925% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Down が 75% で2番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $57.5K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます：

🥇 ティア1：圧倒的なリーダー

• Up (9,925%)：最も高い確率を持つ Up は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,925¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。

🥈 ティア2：主要な対抗馬

• Down (75%)：最も有力な対抗馬として、Down は 75% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 75¢ で取引されています。

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, August 13, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, August 13, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".

US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks

EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea

ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia