Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) Winner

—
2026年8月4日
Active
確率トレンド
Abdul El-Sayed 80.5%
Haley Stevens 17.0%

コアサマリー

「Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) Winner」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Abdul El-Sayed が 8,050% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Haley Stevens が 4,100% で2番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに — に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます：

🥇 ティア1：圧倒的なリーダー

  • Abdul El-Sayed (8,050%)：最も高い確率を持つ Abdul El-Sayed は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 8,050¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $26.2K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2：主要な対抗馬

  • Haley Stevens (4,100%)：最も有力な対抗馬として、Haley Stevens は 4,100% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 4,100¢ で取引されています。

包括的なオーダーブック＆価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています：

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入（コスト）No 購入（コスト）
1Abdul El-Sayed8050.0%$26.2K8050¢-7950¢
2Haley Stevens4100.0%—4100¢-4000¢

判定ルール

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Wayne County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Wayne County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Wayne County.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Jul 31, 2026

  • 07:34 AM
    ——
    $24.60

    Bought 30 Yes for Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? at 0.82

  • 07:34 AM
    LMLMDARKOWL2
    $3.34

    Bought 4.073166 Yes for Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? at 0.82

  • 07:24 AM
    LMLMDARKOWL2
    $3.27

    Bought 3.9878 Yes for Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? at 0.82

  • 07:19 AM
    PEpegasus7
    $6.30

    Sold 35 No for Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? at 0.18

  • 06:55 AM
    CCccallees
    $4.40

    Sold 20 No for Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? at 0.22

  • 06:49 AM
    0X0x8f715d642904cceddE658C606498B94D6009719a-1783334699852
    $22.00

    Sold 100 No for Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? at 0.22

  • 06:26 AM
    TItinys
    $1.68

    Sold 8 No for Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? at 0.21

  • 06:26 AM
    ALAllyouneedisClaude
    $1.68

    Sold 8 No for Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? at 0.21

  • 06:26 AM
    KOkolyrt
    $1.68

    Sold 8 No for Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? at 0.21

  • 06:25 AM
    PMpm.mm
    $1.68

    Sold 8 No for Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? at 0.21

  • 06:22 AM
    PMpm.mm
    $1.10

    Sold 5 No for Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? at 0.22

  • 06:19 AM
    PMpm.mm
    $1.61

    Sold 7 No for Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? at 0.23

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よくある質問

「Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) Winner」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは？

最新の更新時点で、Abdul El-Sayed が 8,050% の勝率で首位、続いて Haley Stevens（4,100%）。このプールの総取引高は — に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

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