
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
コアサマリー
「LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。
現在、Game 1 Winner が 9,995% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Game 2 Winner が 9,995% で2番手、Match Winner が 9,995% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $1.9M に達し、高い関心を示しています。
競争ティアの内訳
各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:
🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー
- Game 1 Winner (9,995%):最も高い確率を持つ Game 1 Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,995¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $792.8K の出来高を生んでいます。
🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬
- Game 2 Winner (9,995%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Game 2 Winner は 9,995% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 9,995¢ で取引されています。
- Match Winner (9,995%):9,995% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Match Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。
🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)
トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:
- 代替選択肢:Odd/Even Total Kills (9,995%)、First Blood in Game 1? (9,995%)、Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? (9,995%) などが含まれます。
- 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。
包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード
以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:
| 順位 | 予測結果 | 勝率 | 取引高 | Yes 購入(コスト) | No 購入(コスト) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 9995.0% | $792.8K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 9995.0% | $693.9K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Match Winner | 9995.0% | $401.6K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 9995.0% | $5 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 5 | First Blood in Game 1? | 9995.0% | $1.1K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? | 9995.0% | $915 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 9995.0% | $1.8K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1? | 9995.0% | $110 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 9995.0% | $10 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 9995.0% | $10 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 11 | Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) | 9995.0% | $176 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1? | 9960.0% | $40 | 9960¢ | -9860¢ |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 9960.0% | $40 | 9960¢ | -9860¢ |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1? | 9960.0% | $40 | 9960¢ | -9860¢ |
| 15 | First Blood in Game 2? | 9955.0% | $279 | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 16 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 9950.0% | $5 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 18 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 21 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 31 | Any Player Penta Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 32 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 33 | Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2? | 45.0% | $40 | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 34 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 40.0% | $625 | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 35 | Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1? | 40.0% | $40 | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 36 | Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 1? | 40.0% | $40 | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 37 | Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2? | 40.0% | $40 | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 38 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 40.0% | $40 | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 39 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 40.0% | $40 | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 40 | O/U 2.5 Games | 5.0% | $4.2K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 41 | Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) | 5.0% | $46.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 42 | Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? | 5.0% | $955 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
判定ルール
This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 14 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against Top Esports.
This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Team WE.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
取引アクティビティ
このイベントの取引アクティビティです。
Aug 14, 2026
- 08:53 AMDSdstrb1a$1.00
Bought 2.040815 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? at 0.49
- 08:47 AM——$10.00
Bought 18.518517 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? at 0.54
- 08:46 AM——$5.00
Bought 10 Team WE for First Blood in Game 1? at 0.5
- 08:45 AMSUsuntori$7.42
Bought 11.42 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? at 0.65
- 08:44 AM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$95.23
Bought 183.134614 Top Esports for First Blood in Game 1? at 0.52
- 08:42 AMMIMinatovn$3.03
Bought 5.71 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? at 0.53
- 08:42 AMSUsuntori$3.61
Bought 5.91803 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? at 0.61
- 08:42 AMMIMinatovn$10.60
Bought 20 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? at 0.53
- 08:42 AMMIMinatovn$21.19
Bought 39.99 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? at 0.53
- 08:42 AMMIMinatovn$5.20
Bought 10 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? at 0.52
- 08:38 AMSUsuntori$3.61
Bought 5.553845 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? at 0.65
- 08:38 AM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$2.68
Bought 5.71 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? at 0.47
このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット
よくある質問
「LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?
最新の更新時点で、Game 1 Winner が 9,995% の勝率で首位、続いて Game 2 Winner(9,995%)、Match Winner(9,995%)。このプールの総取引高は $1.9M に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。
