
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
コアサマリー
「LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。
現在、Both Teams Slay a Dragon が 7,600% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Both Teams Slay a Dragon が 7,600% で2番手、First Blood in Game 2? が 6,400% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $59K に達し、高い関心を示しています。
競争ティアの内訳
各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:
🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,600%):最も高い確率を持つ Both Teams Slay a Dragon は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 7,600¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。
🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,600%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Both Teams Slay a Dragon は 7,600% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 7,600¢ で取引されています。
- First Blood in Game 2? (6,400%):6,400% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は First Blood in Game 2? に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。
🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)
トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:
- 代替選択肢:First Blood in Game 1? (6,300%)、Any Player Penta Kill (5,650%)、Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (5,500%) などが含まれます。
- 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。
包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード
以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:
| 順位 | 予測結果 | 勝率 | 取引高 | Yes 購入(コスト) | No 購入(コスト) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 7600.0% | — | 7600¢ | -7500¢ |
| 2 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 7600.0% | — | 7600¢ | -7500¢ |
| 3 | First Blood in Game 2? | 6400.0% | — | 6400¢ | -6300¢ |
| 4 | First Blood in Game 1? | 6300.0% | — | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 5 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5650.0% | — | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 5500.0% | — | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 5450.0% | — | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 8 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2? | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 10 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2? | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 21 | O/U 2.5 Games | 4850.0% | $31 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 22 | Game 1 Winner | 4750.0% | $3.6K | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 23 | Game 2 Winner | 4650.0% | $227 | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 24 | Match Winner | 4550.0% | $54.7K | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 25 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 26 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 27 | Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5) | 3050.0% | $403 | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 28 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 29 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 30 | Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5) | 2250.0% | — | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
| 31 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 2150.0% | — | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 32 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 2150.0% | — | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 33 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1800.0% | — | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
| 34 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1800.0% | — | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
判定ルール
This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 13 at 3:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas.
This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against Weibo Gaming.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
取引アクティビティ
このイベントの取引アクティビティです。
Aug 12, 2026
- 08:56 PMFOFollower2$1.00
Bought 3.225805 Ninjas in Pyjamas for Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5) at 0.31
- 08:56 PM——$55.37
Bought 178.612902 Ninjas in Pyjamas for Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5) at 0.31
- 08:06 PMLLLLort$4.83
Bought 10.27 Weibo Gaming for LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner at 0.47
- 08:06 PMLLLLort$4.83
Bought 10.27 Weibo Gaming for LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner at 0.47
- 08:03 PMOTottawan$9.00
Bought 16.666665 Ninjas in Pyjamas for LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana at 0.54
- 07:55 PMLAlad1234711$1.00
Bought 2.127658 Weibo Gaming for LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana at 0.47
- 07:52 PMKAKazacugambler39$6.00
Bought 12.765956 Weibo Gaming for LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana at 0.47
- 07:52 PM——$1.20
Bought 2.55319 Weibo Gaming for LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana at 0.47
- 07:51 PMSTStasPanda$2,537.82
Bought 5517 Weibo Gaming for LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana at 0.46
- 07:51 PM——$4.87
Bought 10.361701 Weibo Gaming for LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana at 0.47
- 07:45 PM0X0x016082304437E3A4F18Da73ADcCD2D8493771224-1780056859059$60.16
Bought 188 Ninjas in Pyjamas for Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5) at 0.32
- 07:43 PMLLll0102351$5.00
Bought 10.869564 Weibo Gaming for LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana at 0.46
このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット
よくある質問
「LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?
最新の更新時点で、Both Teams Slay a Dragon が 7,600% の勝率で首位、続いて Both Teams Slay a Dragon(7,600%)、First Blood in Game 2?(6,400%)。このプールの総取引高は $59K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。
