LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

$1.8M Vol
2026年8月16日
Active
確率トレンド
Invictus Gaming 85.0%
Weibo Gaming 15.0%

コアサマリー

「LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、First Blood in Game 1? が 9,995% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? が 9,955% で2番手、Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? が 9,950% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $1.8M に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • First Blood in Game 1? (9,995%):最も高い確率を持つ First Blood in Game 1? は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,995¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $450 の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? (9,955%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? は 9,955% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 9,955¢ で取引されています。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (9,950%):9,950% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? (9,950%)、Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? (9,950%)、Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1? (9,950%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Odd/Even Total Kills のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1First Blood in Game 1?9995.0%$4509995¢-9895¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?9955.0%$1059955¢-9855¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$3.8K9950¢-9850¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$3609950¢-9850¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$59950¢-9850¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$59950¢-9850¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills9945.0%$109945¢-9845¢
8Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)6300.0%$12.2K6300¢-6200¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5200.0%$2.1K5200¢-5100¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5000.0%$2055000¢-4900¢
28Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30O/U 2.5 Games3700.0%$2.3K3700¢-3600¢
31Game 2 Winner3650.0%$388.9K3650¢-3550¢
32Match Winner1700.0%$369.2K1700¢-1600¢
33First Blood in Game 2?55.0%$50155¢45¢
34Game 1 Winner5.0%$993.3K95¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 16 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Invictus Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Weibo Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Aug 16, 2026

  • 08:51 AM
    SUsuntori
    $3.52

    Bought 6.285713 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.56

  • 08:51 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1.14

    Bought 1.965516 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.58

  • 08:50 AM
    0X0x633e96a4b7ae543522358282eafa023fe61bd305-1783406206089
    $1.90

    Bought 4.523808 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.42

  • 08:50 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1.90

    Bought 4.523808 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.42

  • 08:27 AM
    FAfakeso
    $8.06

    Bought 16.443672 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.49

  • 07:58 AM
    WEWendy-007
    $3.20

    Bought 5 Weibo Gaming for Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 07:58 AM
    0X0xBadB9af986EE66437BD39E6cd3D3036CbbDc31a
    $640.00

    Bought 1000 Weibo Gaming for Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 07:57 AM
    0X0xBadB9af986EE66437BD39E6cd3D3036CbbDc31a
    $370.00

    Bought 1000 Weibo Gaming for LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana at 0.37

  • 07:57 AM
    1212as
    $10.00

    Bought 15.625 Invictus Gaming for LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana at 0.64

  • 07:57 AM
    1212as
    $10.00

    Bought 16.666665 Invictus Gaming for LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.6

  • 07:57 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $4.76

    Bought 7.4375 Invictus Gaming for LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana at 0.64

  • 07:56 AM
    2828usa
    $14.99

    Sold 23.8 Invictus Gaming for LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana at 0.63

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

-M1
-Malfunction
Event PnL
-$8,390.35
Volume
$131,049.35
Positions
Invictus Gaming
112
111111111115
Event PnL
-$35,394.82
Volume
$119,999.80
Positions
Weibo Gaming
EZ3
Eztennis
Event PnL
-$22,305.69
Volume
$94,454.91
Positions
Weibo Gaming
2C4
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$16,502.45
Volume
$68,815.26
Positions
Invictus Gaming
IM5
IMAREALPERSON
Event PnL
-$11,761.28
Volume
$39,952.44
Positions
Weibo Gaming
ZB6
zb8
Event PnL
+$12,850.17
Volume
$39,366.03
Positions
Invictus GamingInvictus Gaming
487
48binn
Event PnL
-$35.00
Volume
$34,005.32
Positions
Invictus Gaming
TH8
theodyssey
Event PnL
-$5,120.08
Volume
$30,335.51
Positions
Weibo GamingWeibo GamingWeibo Gaming

よくある質問

「LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、First Blood in Game 1? が 9,995% の勝率で首位、続いて Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?(9,955%)、Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?(9,950%)。このプールの総取引高は $1.8M に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

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