LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

$384.6K Vol
2026年8月13日
Active
確率トレンド
Bilibili Gaming 87.5%
ThunderTalk Gaming 12.5%

コアサマリー

「LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? が 8,000% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? が 6,900% で2番手、Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) が 6,050% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $384.6K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? (8,000%):最も高い確率を持つ Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 8,000¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $1.2K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? (6,900%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? は 6,900% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 6,900¢ で取引されています。
  • Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) (6,050%):6,050% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? (5,350%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%)、Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Any Player Penta Kill のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?8000.0%$1.2K8000¢-7900¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?6900.0%$1.2K6900¢-6800¢
3Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)6050.0%$52.2K6050¢-5950¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?5350.0%$1.8K5350¢-5250¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?5000.0%$1.9K5000¢-4900¢
19Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
28First Blood in Game 1?4550.0%$1734550¢-4450¢
29O/U 2.5 Games3600.0%$3.0K3600¢-3500¢
30Game 1 Winner2450.0%$52.6K2450¢-2350¢
31Game 2 Winner2350.0%$3.9K2350¢-2250¢
32Match Winner1650.0%$334.0K1650¢-1550¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 13 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against Bilibili Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Aug 13, 2026

  • 08:18 AM
    0X0x8cED225A64544C9c358754827Ee6BEd207850fee-1770046313442
    $132.25

    Bought 197.381468 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.67

  • 08:16 AM
    0X0x8cED225A64544C9c358754827Ee6BEd207850fee-1770046313442
    $17.91

    Bought 27.132087 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.66

  • 08:01 AM
    SUsuntori
    $26.67

    Bought 190.47 ThunderTalk Gaming for LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend at 0.14

  • 07:59 AM
    MAmamofaker2
    $4.40

    Bought 20 ThunderTalk Gaming for LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.22

  • 07:59 AM
    0X0xE18a55FF9780c24b6AcE78Df1b4Bc4266cCeA6DF-1728721938951
    $7.90

    Bought 10 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.79

  • 07:58 AM
    0X0xc6f317831Bc5a9dc9b28544895E99168c318b3ee-1783353406015
    $10.00

    Bought 26.315788 ThunderTalk Gaming for Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) at 0.38

  • 07:52 AM
    DIDivv94
    $10.00

    Bought 11.494246 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend at 0.87

  • 07:47 AM
    NIninecatsguy
    $2.00

    Bought 3.174602 Bilibili Gaming for Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) at 0.63

  • 07:47 AM
    NIninecatsguy
    $17.40

    Bought 20 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend at 0.87

  • 07:30 AM
    HKhkesd
    $5.00

    Bought 13.157893 ThunderTalk Gaming for Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) at 0.38

  • 07:23 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1.90

    Bought 5 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.38

  • 07:23 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.90

    Bought 4.75 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.4

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

TA1
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$102.95
Volume
$20,577.16
Positions
Bilibili GamingBilibili Gaming
LA2
Lakersfan111
Event PnL
-$18.70
Volume
$15,134.39
Positions
ThunderTalk GamingBilibili GamingOver
MP3
mpyh
Event PnL
+$42.60
Volume
$10,498.51
Positions
ThunderTalk GamingThunderTalk GamingThunderTalk Gaming
OD4
odifipa
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
ThunderTalk Gaming
DA5
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6
Event PnL
-$39.99
Volume
$7,999.97
Positions
ThunderTalk Gaming
386
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$45.84
Volume
$7,397.55
Positions
Bilibili GamingBilibili GamingBilibili Gaming
PO7
PourpelNourpel
Event PnL
+$22.70
Volume
$6,769.90
Positions
ThunderTalk Gaming
F38
f3arless
Event PnL
-$30.00
Volume
$6,000.00
Positions
Bilibili Gaming

よくある質問

「LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? が 8,000% の勝率で首位、続いて Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?(6,900%)、Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)(6,050%)。このプールの総取引高は $384.6K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

無料で始める