
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs
コアサマリー
「LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。
現在、Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5) が 9,995% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5) が 9,995% で2番手、Any Player Quadra Kill が 9,950% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $546.1K に達し、高い関心を示しています。
競争ティアの内訳
各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:
🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5) (9,995%):最も高い確率を持つ Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5) は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,995¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $3.5K の出来高を生んでいます。
🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬
- Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5) (9,995%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5) は 9,995% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 9,995¢ で取引されています。
- Any Player Quadra Kill (9,950%):9,950% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Any Player Quadra Kill に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。
🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)
トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:
- 代替選択肢:First Blood in Game 1? (9,950%)、First Blood in Game 3? (9,050%)、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (9,000%) などが含まれます。
- 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Both Teams Slay a Dragon のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。
包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード
以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:
| 順位 | 予測結果 | 勝率 | 取引高 | Yes 購入(コスト) | No 購入(コスト) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5) | 9995.0% | $3.5K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5) | 9995.0% | $20.1K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 4 | First Blood in Game 1? | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 5 | First Blood in Game 3? | 9050.0% | $56 | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 8 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 9000.0% | $30 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 10 | First Blood in Game 2? | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 11 | Game 4 Winner | 5050.0% | $5.7K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $30 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $30 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | First Blood in Game 4? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 26 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 27 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 28 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 1000.0% | $30 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 29 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 30 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 31 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 32 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 1000.0% | $30 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 33 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 34 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 35 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 36 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 37 | Game 1 Winner | 5.0% | $131.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 38 | Game 2 Winner | 5.0% | $230.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 39 | Game 3 Winner | 5.0% | $81.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 40 | Match Winner | 5.0% | $45.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 41 | O/U 3.5 Games | 5.0% | $20.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 42 | O/U 4.5 Games | 5.0% | $7.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 43 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
判定ルール
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between TLN Pirates and Galions in the LFL Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "TLN Pirates" if TLN Pirates win the match against Galions.
This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win the match against TLN Pirates.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
取引アクティビティ
このイベントの取引アクティビティです。
Aug 26, 2026
- 08:28 AMTHTheThighMaster$5.00
Bought 29.411763 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.17
- 08:15 AMLLlL1ll$12.94
Bought 15.4 Galions for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.84
- 08:09 AMBUbub111$3.00
Bought 17.647057 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.17
- 08:09 AMSUSuper01$1.00
Bought 5.882351 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.17
- 07:59 AMAGAGBetsCo$33.99
Bought 199.941175 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.17
- 04:01 AM——$1.00
Bought 1.190475 Galions for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.84
- 04:00 AMFOforgedinlol$4.20
Bought 5 Galions for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.84
- 03:23 AMGBgbby123$26.00
Bought 152.941175 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.17
- 03:20 AMLLLLOTTI$4.20
Bought 5 Galions for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.84
- 03:20 AMGBgbby123$343.14
Bought 1906.354735 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.18
- 03:15 AMQUqueenshaniqua$1.06
Bought 1.682537 TLN Pirates for Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5) at 0.63
- 03:15 AMANAntiVaxxer$3.15
Bought 5 TLN Pirates for Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5) at 0.63
このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット
よくある質問
「LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?
最新の更新時点で、Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5) が 9,995% の勝率で首位、続いて Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5)(9,995%)、Any Player Quadra Kill(9,950%)。このプールの総取引高は $546.1K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。
