LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

$60.1K Vol
2026年8月16日
Active
確率トレンド
Top Esports 82.5%
EDward Gaming 17.5%

コアサマリー

「LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Match Winner が 8,250% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Game 1 Winner が 7,550% で2番手、Game 2 Winner が 7,550% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $60.1K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Match Winner (8,250%):最も高い確率を持つ Match Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 8,250¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $43.6K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Game 1 Winner (7,550%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Game 1 Winner は 7,550% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 7,550¢ で取引されています。
  • Game 2 Winner (7,550%):7,550% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 2 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,950%)、First Blood in Game 1? (6,450%)、Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) (5,950%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Match Winner8250.0%$43.6K8250¢-8150¢
2Game 1 Winner7550.0%$1.5K7550¢-7450¢
3Game 2 Winner7550.0%$3.0K7550¢-7450¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6950.0%$576950¢-6850¢
5First Blood in Game 1?6450.0%$36450¢-6350¢
6Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)5950.0%$11.3K5950¢-5850¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?5400.0%$225400¢-5300¢
8Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5150.0%$585150¢-5050¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%$575000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill4850.0%$104850¢-4750¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
22First Blood in Game 2?4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?3850.0%$353850¢-3750¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon3800.0%$573800¢-3700¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?3800.0%$743800¢-3700¢
26O/U 2.5 Games3550.0%$6383550¢-3450¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill2600.0%$52600¢-2500¢
28Any Player Penta Kill850.0%$10850¢-750¢
29Any Player Penta Kill800.0%$10800¢-700¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 16 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against EDward Gaming.

This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against Top Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Aug 16, 2026

  • 08:47 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.14

    Bought 2.533332 EDward Gaming for First Blood in Game 1? at 0.45

  • 08:47 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1.04

    Bought 1.650791 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? at 0.63

  • 07:59 AM
    YUYugi-Oh
    $415.00

    Bought 500 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend at 0.83

  • 07:59 AM
    2828usa
    $14.58

    Sold 41.66 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.35

  • 07:53 AM
    CAcaibaoz
    $10.00

    Bought 16.949151 Top Esports for Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) at 0.59

  • 07:50 AM
    MIMinne2507
    $50.01

    Bought 60.253011 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend at 0.83

  • 07:50 AM
    WAwasabeej
    $40.99

    Sold 49.99 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend at 0.82

  • 07:32 AM
    MIMinne2507
    $100.00

    Bought 120.481923 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend at 0.83

  • 07:18 AM
    TEtetega
    $3.00

    Bought 17.647057 EDward Gaming for LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend at 0.17

  • 07:18 AM
    V9v93
    $1.98

    Bought 11.647057 EDward Gaming for LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend at 0.17

  • 07:17 AM
    RErevenanti
    $30.00

    Bought 39.47 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.76

  • 07:14 AM
    RARawdy
    $10.24

    Bought 24.39 EDward Gaming for Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) at 0.42

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

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よくある質問

「LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Match Winner が 8,250% の勝率で首位、続いて Game 1 Winner(7,550%)、Game 2 Winner(7,550%)。このプールの総取引高は $60.1K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

無料で始める