LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

$4.6K Vol
2026年8月29日
Active
確率トレンド
T1 83.0%
BNK FEARX 17.0%

コアサマリー

「LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Match Winner が 8,350% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Game 1 Winner が 7,150% で2番手、Game 2 Winner が 7,100% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $4.6K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Match Winner (8,350%):最も高い確率を持つ Match Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 8,350¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $3.3K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Game 1 Winner (7,150%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Game 1 Winner は 7,150% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 7,150¢ で取引されています。
  • Game 2 Winner (7,100%):7,100% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 2 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Game 4 Winner (7,100%)、Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5) (7,100%)、Game 3 Winner (6,650%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Both Teams Slay a Dragon のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Match Winner8350.0%$3.3K8350¢-8250¢
2Game 1 Winner7150.0%$1.1K7150¢-7050¢
3Game 2 Winner7100.0%$407100¢-7000¢
4Game 4 Winner7100.0%$1007100¢-7000¢
5Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)7100.0%7100¢-7000¢
6Game 3 Winner6650.0%$156650¢-6550¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
12O/U 3.5 Games5600.0%$105600¢-5500¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5350.0%5350¢-5250¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5350.0%5350¢-5250¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
19Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
20First Blood in Game 2?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
21First Blood in Game 4?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
35Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
36Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
37Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
38Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)4100.0%$84100¢-4000¢
39Any Player Quadra Kill2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
40Any Player Quadra Kill2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
41Any Player Quadra Kill2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
42Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
43Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
44Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
45Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
46Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
47Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
48Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
49Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
50Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
51O/U 4.5 Games2400.0%2400¢-2300¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between T1 and BNK FEARX in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against BNK FEARX.

This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against T1.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

よくある質問

「LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Match Winner が 8,350% の勝率で首位、続いて Game 1 Winner(7,150%)、Game 2 Winner(7,100%)。このプールの総取引高は $4.6K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

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