LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

$1M Vol
2026年8月9日
Active
確率トレンド
Natus Vincere 64.5%
SK Gaming 35.5%

コアサマリー

「LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Game 2 Winner が 9,995% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。O/U 2.5 Games が 9,995% で2番手、Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? が 9,995% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $1M に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):最も高い確率を持つ Game 2 Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,995¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $461.3K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):最も有力な対抗馬として、O/U 2.5 Games は 9,995% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 9,995¢ で取引されています。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? (9,995%):9,995% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? (9,995%)、Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? (9,995%)、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (9,000%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Odd/Even Total Kills のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$461.3K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$5.3K9995¢-9895¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?9995.0%$2.4K9995¢-9895¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?9995.0%$1.5K9995¢-9895¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?9995.0%$699995¢-9895¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
23Match Winner4150.0%$264.0K4150¢-4050¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon1000.0%1000¢-900¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
27Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
28Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?275.0%$3.4K275¢-175¢
30Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?55.0%55¢45¢
31First Blood in Game 2?50.0%$7250¢50¢
32Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50.0%$67150¢50¢
33Game 1 Winner5.0%$355.2K95¢
34Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)5.0%$43.8K95¢
35First Blood in Game 1?5.0%$86895¢
36Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?5.0%$595¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL match between SK Gaming and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 8 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "SK Gaming" if SK Gaming win the match against Natus Vincere.

This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against SK Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Aug 8, 2026

  • 08:19 AM
    NUNulixuexi
    $3.15

    Bought 5 SK Gaming for Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5) at 0.63

  • 08:13 AM
    KOKosmener
    $30.00

    Bought 78.947367 Natus Vincere for Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5) at 0.38

  • 08:02 AM
    $51.48

    Bought 80.4375 Natus Vincere for LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.64

  • 08:01 AM
    DRDriftCapital
    $2.85

    Bought 5 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.57

  • 08:00 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754383 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.57

  • 07:50 AM
    DRDriftCapital
    $1.85

    Bought 3.24 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.57

  • 07:49 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754383 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.57

  • 07:48 AM
    0X0x8d10b39465225d7a881b56b4Af8354997f0C940A-1767024582634
    $3.62

    Bought 8.227271 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.44

  • 07:48 AM
    $43.50

    Bought 75 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.58

  • 07:39 AM
    PAPacoPorros
    $5.00

    Bought 7.8125 Natus Vincere for LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.64

  • 07:31 AM
    QOqomroca
    $47.82

    Bought 77.125 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.62

  • 07:31 AM
    AMam100
    $119.34

    Bought 271.23 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.44

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よくある質問

「LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Game 2 Winner が 9,995% の勝率で首位、続いて O/U 2.5 Games(9,995%)、Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?(9,995%)。このプールの総取引高は $1M に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

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