
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
コアサマリー
「LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。
現在、Match Winner が 8,450% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Game 1 Winner が 7,650% で2番手、Game 2 Winner が 7,650% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $65.7K に達し、高い関心を示しています。
競争ティアの内訳
各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:
🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー
- Match Winner (8,450%):最も高い確率を持つ Match Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 8,450¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $40.2K の出来高を生んでいます。
🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬
- Game 1 Winner (7,650%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Game 1 Winner は 7,650% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 7,650¢ で取引されています。
- Game 2 Winner (7,650%):7,650% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 2 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。
🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)
トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:
- 代替選択肢:First Blood in Game 1? (6,600%)、Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) (6,050%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,050%) などが含まれます。
- 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Both Teams Slay a Dragon のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。
包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード
以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:
| 順位 | 予測結果 | 勝率 | 取引高 | Yes 購入(コスト) | No 購入(コスト) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 8450.0% | $40.2K | 8450¢ | -8350¢ |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 7650.0% | $6.1K | 7650¢ | -7550¢ |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 7650.0% | $7.8K | 7650¢ | -7550¢ |
| 4 | First Blood in Game 1? | 6600.0% | — | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 5 | Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) | 6050.0% | $14.0K | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 6050.0% | — | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 6000.0% | — | 6000¢ | -5900¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5900.0% | — | 5900¢ | -5800¢ |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 2? | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 10 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 11 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 17 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 4450.0% | $4.0K | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 18 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 4350.0% | $8.2K | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 20 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 3700.0% | — | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 21 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 3600.0% | — | 3600¢ | -3500¢ |
| 22 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 23 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 24 | O/U 2.5 Games | 3450.0% | $3.7K | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 25 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 3400.0% | — | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 26 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 27 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
判定ルール
This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 2 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Shopify Rebellion.
This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against LYON.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
取引アクティビティ
このイベントの取引アクティビティです。
Aug 2, 2026
- 08:00 AMFOforgedinlol$4.05
Bought 5 LYON for LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.81
- 07:59 AMYUyurimita$16.20
Bought 20 LYON for LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.81
- 07:20 AM0X0xFC095c3deCA$7.29
Bought 9 LYON for LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.81
- 06:46 AMBEBEBE1$4.89
Bought 6.11 LYON for LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.8
- 05:01 AM——$5.00
Bought 6.25 LYON for LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.8
- 02:57 AMA4A46738$1.00
Bought 1.25 LYON for LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.8
- 02:44 AMTITimPenis$19.06
Bought 23.825 LYON for LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.8
- 02:11 AMSGsgtmike$1.08
Bought 5.142856 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.21
- 02:11 AMPMpmau$139.30
Bought 174.12 LYON for LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.8
- 01:39 AMGRGraveTrout11$232.70
Bought 423.090908 LYON for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.55
- 12:55 AMBOboobytracey$78.21
Bought 102.907891 LYON for LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner at 0.76
- 12:55 AMBOboobytracey$90.06
Bought 118.5 LYON for LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner at 0.76
このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット
よくある質問
「LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?
最新の更新時点で、Match Winner が 8,450% の勝率で首位、続いて Game 1 Winner(7,650%)、Game 2 Winner(7,650%)。このプールの総取引高は $65.7K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。
