LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

$112.9K Vol
2026年8月2日
Active
確率トレンド
Karmine Corp 80.5%
Natus Vincere 19.5%

コアサマリー

「LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Match Winner が 8,050% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Game 1 Winner が 7,150% で2番手、Game 2 Winner が 7,150% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $112.9K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Match Winner (8,050%):最も高い確率を持つ Match Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 8,050¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $17.3K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Game 1 Winner (7,150%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Game 1 Winner は 7,150% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 7,150¢ で取引されています。
  • Game 2 Winner (7,150%):7,150% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 2 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,650%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,650%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,300%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、First Blood in Game 2? のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Match Winner8050.0%$17.3K8050¢-7950¢
2Game 1 Winner7150.0%$3.8K7150¢-7050¢
3Game 2 Winner7150.0%$1457150¢-7050¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6650.0%6650¢-6550¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon6650.0%6650¢-6550¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon6300.0%6300¢-6200¢
7First Blood in Game 2?5400.0%5400¢-5300¢
8First Blood in Game 1?5400.0%5400¢-5300¢
9Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)5350.0%$105.1K5350¢-5250¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
18Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4600.0%4600¢-4500¢
19O/U 2.5 Games3850.0%$1.4K3850¢-3750¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
22Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
23Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1750.0%1750¢-1650¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1750.0%1750¢-1650¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1600.0%1600¢-1500¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1600.0%1600¢-1500¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL match between Karmine Corp and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 1 at 1:15PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Natus Vincere.

This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Karmine Corp.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Aug 1, 2026

  • 08:05 AM
    BOboobytracey
    $45.43

    Bought 63.097221 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner at 0.72

  • 08:04 AM
    VIvibing123
    $29.79

    Bought 56.21 Karmine Corp for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) at 0.53

  • 07:42 AM
    DEDepreLeolienne
    $280.33

    Bought 528.925848 Karmine Corp for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) at 0.53

  • 06:33 AM
    7N7n193glg3
    $6.81

    Bought 8.407405 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.81

  • 06:33 AM
    MIMinne2507
    $150.00

    Bought 185.185184 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.81

  • 06:29 AM
    BAbaggins178
    $50.00

    Bought 61.728394 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.81

  • 06:06 AM
    0X0xjarod
    $5.00

    Bought 6.172836 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.81

  • 06:01 AM
    CHChukuleTerak
    $7.78

    Bought 9.6 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.81

  • 06:00 AM
    PLplatonsar3
    $30.00

    Bought 157.88 Natus Vincere for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.19

  • 06:00 AM
    OAoamfr33
    $13.31

    Bought 70.04 Natus Vincere for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.19

  • 05:53 AM
    SMsmileudance
    $1.00

    Bought 1.923075 Karmine Corp for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) at 0.52

  • 05:48 AM
    TETelepath-One
    $400.00

    Bought 487.804877 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.82

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

ST1
StasPanda
Event PnL
+$207.99
Volume
$83,999.96
Positions
Karmine Corp
TA2
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
-$357.59
Volume
$78,721.91
Positions
Natus VincereNatus VincereNatus Vincere
2C3
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$25.67
Volume
$7,794.35
Positions
Natus Vincere
FO4
forget4
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Natus Vincere
KA5
KarlXII
Event PnL
+$15.00
Volume
$4,999.99
Positions
Karmine Corp
SI6
SimpleTony
Event PnL
+$62.39
Volume
$4,159.48
Positions
Natus Vincere
9E7
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$19.69
Volume
$3,938.85
Positions
Karmine Corp
MY8
mythos1.8
Event PnL
+$17.50
Volume
$3,499.98
Positions
Natus Vincere

よくある質問

「LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Match Winner が 8,050% の勝率で首位、続いて Game 1 Winner(7,150%)、Game 2 Winner(7,150%)。このプールの総取引高は $112.9K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

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