LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

$50.8K Vol
2026年8月20日
Active
確率トレンド
JD Gaming 71.5%
ThunderTalk Gaming 28.5%

コアサマリー

「LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Both Teams Slay a Dragon が 7,550% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Match Winner が 7,150% で2番手、Game 2 Winner が 6,550% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $50.8K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,550%):最も高い確率を持つ Both Teams Slay a Dragon は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 7,550¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Match Winner (7,150%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Match Winner は 7,150% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 7,150¢ で取引されています。
  • Game 2 Winner (6,550%):6,550% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 2 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Game 1 Winner (6,450%)、Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (5,550%)、Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (5,450%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、First Blood in Game 1? のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon7550.0%7550¢-7450¢
2Match Winner7150.0%$39.4K7150¢-7050¢
3Game 2 Winner6550.0%$1656550¢-6450¢
4Game 1 Winner6450.0%$2296450¢-6350¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5550.0%$2295550¢-5450¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5450.0%$735450¢-5350¢
7First Blood in Game 1?5350.0%5350¢-5250¢
8Any Player Penta Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5150.0%$2265150¢-5050¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$2265000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$2265000¢-4900¢
18First Blood in Game 2?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
20O/U 2.5 Games4350.0%$4464350¢-4250¢
21Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)4250.0%$3.8K4250¢-4150¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4150.0%$3.0K4150¢-4050¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4100.0%$3.2K4100¢-4000¢
24Any Player Penta Kill2350.0%2350¢-2250¢
25Any Player Penta Kill2350.0%2350¢-2250¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1250.0%1250¢-1150¢
27Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1150.0%1150¢-1050¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors550.0%550¢-450¢
29Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors550.0%550¢-450¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL match between JD Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 20 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming.

This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against JD Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Aug 19, 2026

  • 09:13 PM
    0X0x86f40296c7E74F4C7BCF47ef217AC0F83491BD70-1781545027111
    $231.89

    Bought 445.95 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.52

  • 09:12 PM
    AMamaya21
    $2.66

    Bought 5.12 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.52

  • 09:11 PM
    AMamaya21
    $18.65

    Bought 35.86 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.52

  • 09:11 PM
    AMamaya21
    $22.34

    Bought 43.8 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.51

  • 09:08 PM
    XYXyen
    $48.32

    Bought 92.923075 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.52

  • 09:08 PM
    XYXyen
    $60.92

    Bought 117.153845 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.52

  • 09:06 PM
    0X0x294b241F8b97845803FE34a9B99629E07cd422d2-1778884232768
    $0.13

    Bought 0.28 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.47

  • 09:06 PM
    HOHopelessPlayer
    $0.07

    Bought 0.07 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.99

  • 09:06 PM
    GOGOLDCRYPT12
    $30.08

    Bought 64 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.47

  • 09:06 PM
    SOsolll1
    $472.27

    Bought 1004.83 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.47

  • 09:06 PM
    SUsuvorovv
    $3.30

    Bought 6.346152 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.52

  • 09:06 PM
    D3d3c0y19
    $2.80

    Bought 5.384614 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.52

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

LA1
Lakersfan111
Event PnL
+$191.23
Volume
$11,211.51
Positions
ThunderTalk GamingThunderTalk GamingThunderTalk Gaming+1
DR2
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
-$150.00
Volume
$9,999.99
Positions
JD Gaming
TA3
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$40.23
Volume
$8,285.81
Positions
JD Gaming
GO4
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
-$37.30
Volume
$7,563.71
Positions
ThunderTalk GamingUnder
BY5
BYTasb001
Event PnL
+$109.12
Volume
$6,929.48
Positions
ThunderTalk Gaming
VI6
vibing123
Event PnL
-$97.65
Volume
$6,510.71
Positions
JD Gaming
697
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
-$218.01
Volume
$4,614.81
Positions
ThunderTalk GamingOverOver+1
AM8
am100
Event PnL
-$348.49
Volume
$4,193.71
Positions
OverOverThunderTalk Gaming

よくある質問

「LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Both Teams Slay a Dragon が 7,550% の勝率で首位、続いて Match Winner(7,150%)、Game 2 Winner(6,550%)。このプールの総取引高は $50.8K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

無料で始める