LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

$76.5K Vol
2026年8月21日
Active
確率トレンド
ThunderTalk Gaming 57.5%
EDward Gaming 42.5%

コアサマリー

「LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Both Teams Slay a Dragon が 8,150% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Both Teams Slay a Dragon が 8,050% で2番手、Both Teams Slay a Dragon が 6,600% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $76.5K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (8,150%):最も高い確率を持つ Both Teams Slay a Dragon は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 8,150¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (8,050%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Both Teams Slay a Dragon は 8,050% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 8,050¢ で取引されています。
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,600%):6,600% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Both Teams Slay a Dragon に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (6,200%)、Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (5,950%)、Any Player Quadra Kill (5,600%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon8150.0%8150¢-8050¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon8050.0%8050¢-7950¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon6600.0%6600¢-6500¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?6200.0%6200¢-6100¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5950.0%5950¢-5850¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5600.0%5600¢-5500¢
7Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13First Blood in Game 1?4950.0%$214950¢-4850¢
14First Blood in Game 2?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
15Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4900.0%$8.5K4900¢-4800¢
16O/U 2.5 Games4750.0%$2214750¢-4650¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4750.0%$1.6K4750¢-4650¢
18Game 1 Winner4550.0%$3094550¢-4450¢
19Game 2 Winner4550.0%$1574550¢-4450¢
20Match Winner4250.0%$65.7K4250¢-4150¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?3700.0%3700¢-3600¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?3250.0%$103250¢-3150¢
23Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)3150.0%$683150¢-3050¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
25Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
27Any Player Penta Kill1850.0%1850¢-1750¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1700.0%1700¢-1600¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1650.0%1650¢-1550¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors800.0%800¢-700¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors750.0%750¢-650¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming.

This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against EDward Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 21, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 28, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Aug 20, 2026

  • 09:04 PM
    JZJZhang01
    $5.20

    Bought 10.4 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.5

  • 09:03 PM
    JEJellyfox
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.5

  • 09:02 PM
    0X0x200e9EB918A20E6Baf5A60aF14c65C9E4384e21d-1769617360162
    $50.00

    Bought 94.339621 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.53

  • 09:02 PM
    QUqueenshaniqua
    $2.74

    Bought 5.16981 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.53

  • 09:02 PM
    0X0x200e9EB918A20E6Baf5A60aF14c65C9E4384e21d-1769617360162
    $50.00

    Bought 94.339621 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.53

  • 09:02 PM
    QUqueenshaniqua
    $2.59

    Bought 5.18 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.5

  • 09:02 PM
    OKoknah
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.5

  • 09:01 PM
    QUqueenshaniqua
    $2.59

    Bought 5.18 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.5

  • 09:01 PM
    AMam100
    $951.57

    Bought 1903.14 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.5

  • 09:01 PM
    HOHopelessPlayer
    $20.00

    Bought 40 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.5

  • 08:55 PM
    QUqueenshaniqua
    $2.74

    Bought 5.16981 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.53

  • 08:55 PM
    CUcustalt
    $13.25

    Bought 25 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.53

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

SB1
sbsigner
Event PnL
+$94.33
Volume
$18,858.52
Positions
ThunderTalk Gaming
DA2
dad168168
Event PnL
+$3.71
Volume
$12,344.93
Positions
ThunderTalk Gaming
KI3
KingOfEsports
Event PnL
-$49.97
Volume
$9,999.97
Positions
EDward Gaming
GO4
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
-$39.31
Volume
$8,034.36
Positions
EDward GamingOver
TE5
Terry.CHEN
Event PnL
-$39.02
Volume
$7,805.62
Positions
ThunderTalk Gaming
LA6
Lakersfan111
Event PnL
+$132.02
Volume
$6,991.80
Positions
ThunderTalk GamingEDward Gaming
VI7
vibing123
Event PnL
+$43.83
Volume
$6,954.60
Positions
EDward Gaming
PR8
PROBABILITYTRADER
Event PnL
-$30.69
Volume
$6,140.22
Positions
EDward Gaming

よくある質問

「LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Both Teams Slay a Dragon が 8,150% の勝率で首位、続いて Both Teams Slay a Dragon(8,050%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,600%)。このプールの総取引高は $76.5K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

無料で始める