LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

$65.4K Vol
2026年8月31日
Active
確率トレンド
Cloud9 74.5%
Shopify Rebellion 25.5%

コアサマリー

「LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Match Winner が 7,450% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Game 1 Winner が 6,650% で2番手、Game 2 Winner が 6,650% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $65.4K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Match Winner (7,450%):最も高い確率を持つ Match Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 7,450¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $41.8K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Game 1 Winner (6,650%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Game 1 Winner は 6,650% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 6,650¢ で取引されています。
  • Game 2 Winner (6,650%):6,650% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 2 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,650%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,650%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,950%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Match Winner7450.0%$41.8K7450¢-7350¢
2Game 1 Winner6650.0%$6.6K6650¢-6550¢
3Game 2 Winner6650.0%$5.2K6650¢-6550¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6650.0%6650¢-6550¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon6650.0%6650¢-6550¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon5950.0%5950¢-5850¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?5900.0%5900¢-5800¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?5900.0%$675900¢-5800¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17First Blood in Game 1?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
18Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)4700.0%$3.4K4700¢-4600¢
19Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4350.0%$9.4K4350¢-4250¢
20O/U 2.5 Games4150.0%$3884150¢-4050¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4150.0%$2.5K4150¢-4050¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
28Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
29Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against Shopify Rebellion.

This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Cloud9.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 30, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Aug 30, 2026

  • 09:34 AM
    TEtemjjen
    $205.00

    Bought 500 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 09:31 AM
    SCsc4t
    $1.41

    Bought 2.311474 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.61

  • 09:31 AM
    AMam100
    $166.90

    Bought 278.16 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.6

  • 09:31 AM
    TEtemjjen
    $205.00

    Bought 500 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 09:30 AM
    SCsc4t
    $1.10

    Bought 1.833332 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.6

  • 09:30 AM
    TEtemjjen
    $49.20

    Bought 120 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 09:28 AM
    TEtemjjen
    $210.00

    Bought 500 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.42

  • 09:27 AM
    HOHopelessPlayer
    $7.92

    Bought 12.983605 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.61

  • 09:27 AM
    EVevansranalle
    $205.00

    Bought 500 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 09:18 AM
    SCsc4t
    $1.30

    Bought 2.131146 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.61

  • 09:18 AM
    MCmczippo
    $134.06

    Bought 326.975608 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 09:18 AM
    HOHopelessPlayer
    $5.78

    Bought 9.475407 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.61

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

TA1
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$157.36
Volume
$36,275.85
Positions
Shopify RebellionShopify RebellionShopify Rebellion+1
EL2
Elaran1993
Event PnL
+$0.38
Volume
$20,000.38
Positions
Cloud9
693
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
-$14.96
Volume
$8,217.99
Positions
UnderShopify RebellionUnder
CS4
csgamer11
Event PnL
-$26.38
Volume
$5,277.46
Positions
Cloud9Cloud9
AM5
am100
Event PnL
+$27.84
Volume
$4,383.45
Positions
UnderShopify RebellionUnder
SC6
Schrodinger1887
Event PnL
+$13.09
Volume
$2,618.00
Positions
Cloud9
5B7
0x5b62…1989
Event PnL
-$12.50
Volume
$2,500.00
Positions
Cloud9Cloud9Cloud9+1
IN8
InAirdropWeTrust
Event PnL
+$12.27
Volume
$2,455.40
Positions
Cloud9UnderCloud9

よくある質問

「LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Match Winner が 7,450% の勝率で首位、続いて Game 1 Winner(6,650%)、Game 2 Winner(6,650%)。このプールの総取引高は $65.4K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

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