Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage

$51.4K Vol
2026年8月15日
Active
確率トレンド
TEAM VISION 61.5%
Team Spirit 38.5%

コアサマリー

「Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Match Winner が 6,150% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3? が 5,950% で2番手、Game 1 Winner が 5,850% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $51.4K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Match Winner (6,150%):最も高い確率を持つ Match Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 6,150¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $144.7K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3? (5,950%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3? は 5,950% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 5,950¢ で取引されています。
  • Game 1 Winner (5,850%):5,850% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 1 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Game 2 Winner (5,750%)、Any Player Ultra Kill (5,750%)、Any Player Rampage (5,450%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Ends in Daytime のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Match Winner6150.0%$144.7K6150¢-6050¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3?5950.0%5950¢-5850¢
3Game 1 Winner5850.0%$2.3K5850¢-5750¢
4Game 2 Winner5750.0%$1.2K5750¢-5650¢
5Any Player Ultra Kill5750.0%5750¢-5650¢
6Any Player Rampage5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
7Ends in Daytime5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
8Ends in Daytime5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
9Ends in Daytime5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
10Both Teams Destroy Barracks5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
11First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
12First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13O/U 2.5 Games4950.0%$1.9K4950¢-4850¢
14First Blood in Game 2?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
15Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?4750.0%$214750¢-4650¢
16Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?4700.0%$214700¢-4600¢
17Both Teams Beat Roshan4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
18Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)3350.0%$2.3K3350¢-3250¢
19Both Teams Beat Roshan3300.0%3300¢-3200¢
20Both Teams Beat Roshan3300.0%3300¢-3200¢
21Any Player Ultra Kill2450.0%2450¢-2350¢
22Any Player Ultra Kill2450.0%2450¢-2350¢
23Both Teams Destroy Barracks2400.0%2400¢-2300¢
24Both Teams Destroy Barracks2400.0%2400¢-2300¢
25Any Player Rampage1050.0%1050¢-950¢
26Any Player Rampage800.0%800¢-700¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between TEAM VISION and Team Spirit in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "TEAM VISION" if TEAM VISION win the match against Team Spirit.

This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against TEAM VISION.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Aug 14, 2026

  • 09:06 PM
    ABabo7s
    $21.32

    Bought 41 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.52

  • 09:03 PM
    SAsavkin
    $1.50

    Bought 3.947367 Team Spirit for Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage at 0.38

  • 09:00 PM
    HIHimmel1
    $50.40

    Bought 80 TEAM VISION for Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage at 0.63

  • 08:55 PM
    SISixSeveneSports
    $1.00

    Bought 2.777776 TEAM VISION for Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5) at 0.36

  • 08:53 PM
    $10.00

    Bought 22.727271 Team Spirit for Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner at 0.44

  • 08:46 PM
    $0.01

    Sold 0.04 Team Spirit for Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage at 0.37

  • 08:46 PM
    0X0x1dA698be2Ec149035411951EFa94FFEECf0C5DEa-1777118544745
    $10.00

    Bought 26.315788 Team Spirit for Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage at 0.38

  • 08:44 PM
    $2.88

    Bought 5.764704 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.5

  • 08:43 PM
    SOsouin444
    $4.56

    Bought 12 Team Spirit for Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage at 0.38

  • 08:43 PM
    $0.01

    Sold 0.02 Team Spirit for Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage at 0.37

  • 08:42 PM
    SOsouin444
    $3.77

    Bought 9.92 Team Spirit for Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage at 0.38

  • 08:42 PM
    $0.00

    Sold 0.01 Team Spirit for Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage at 0.37

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

SA1
satford
Event PnL
-$218.76
Volume
$11,974.78
Positions
TEAM VISION
SA2
samtanfan
Event PnL
-$39.41
Volume
$7,883.92
Positions
TEAM VISION
893
0x8992…7441
Event PnL
+$33.63
Volume
$6,725.23
Positions
Team Spirit
324
322boytest
Event PnL
+$32.25
Volume
$6,449.77
Positions
TEAM VISION
QU5
quavoo
Event PnL
+$4.99
Volume
$3,718.00
Positions
Team SpiritOverTeam Spirit+1
FB6
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
+$107.26
Volume
$3,584.85
Positions
Team Spirit
NE7
NewTeamSosed
Event PnL
+$15.00
Volume
$2,999.96
Positions
Team Spirit
CO8
cocococococo
Event PnL
-$0.47
Volume
$2,239.79
Positions
Team Spirit

よくある質問

「Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Match Winner が 6,150% の勝率で首位、続いて Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3?(5,950%)、Game 1 Winner(5,850%)。このプールの総取引高は $51.4K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

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