Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs

$119.4K Vol
2026年7月30日
Active
確率トレンド
NRG 73.0%
Marsborne 27.0%

コアサマリー

「Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5) が 9,000% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Map 2 Winner が 8,600% で2番手、O/U 2.5 Games が 8,550% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $119.4K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5) (9,000%):最も高い確率を持つ Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5) は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,000¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Map 2 Winner (8,600%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Map 2 Winner は 8,600% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 8,600¢ で取引されています。
  • O/U 2.5 Games (8,550%):8,550% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は O/U 2.5 Games に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Match Winner (6,300%)、Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Marsborne (+3.5) (5,000%)、Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Marsborne (+3.5) (5,000%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
2Map 2 Winner8600.0%$2.9K8600¢-8500¢
3O/U 2.5 Games8550.0%$4.6K8550¢-8450¢
4Match Winner6300.0%$61.7K6300¢-6200¢
5Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Marsborne (+3.5)5000.0%$3875000¢-4900¢
6Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Marsborne (+3.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Map Handicap: MARS (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Marsborne (+6.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51000.0%$2611000¢-900¢
12Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51000.0%$51000¢-900¢
13Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Marsborne (+6.5)1000.0%$51000¢-900¢
14Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-9.5) vs NRG (+9.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
15Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Marsborne (+3.5)950.0%$3.2K950¢-850¢
16Map 1 Winner5.0%$30.8K95¢
17Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5)5.0%$15.5K95¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between NRG and Marsborne in the StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 29 at 6:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against Marsborne.

This market will resolve to "Marsborne" if Marsborne win the match against NRG.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Jul 29, 2026

  • 08:27 PM
    DUdusty.yyy
    $0.88

    Sold 1.58 NRG for Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5) at 0.56

  • 08:20 PM
    DUdusty.yyy
    $1.02

    Sold 1.82 NRG for Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5) at 0.56

  • 08:18 PM
    QUquavoo
    $2.70

    Bought 9 Marsborne for Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winner at 0.3

  • 08:16 PM
    QUquavoo
    $1.50

    Bought 5 Marsborne for Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winner at 0.3

  • 08:14 PM
    QUquavoo
    $1.20

    Bought 4 Marsborne for Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winner at 0.3

  • 08:14 PM
    QUquavoo
    $5.70

    Bought 19 Marsborne for Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winner at 0.3

  • 08:09 PM
    QUquavoo
    $4.64

    Bought 16 Marsborne for Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winner at 0.29

  • 08:03 PM
    QUquavoo
    $17.69

    Bought 61 Marsborne for Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winner at 0.29

  • 08:01 PM
    KEkeviiinye
    $2.00

    Bought 4.545453 Marsborne for Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 07:58 PM
    636324lilaoba
    $134.65

    Bought 708.7 Marsborne for Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs at 0.19

  • 07:56 PM
    ARarahbo
    $53.28

    Bought 144 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.37

  • 07:53 PM
    DOdovetail
    $15.49

    Bought 36.03 Marsborne for Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5) at 0.43

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

291
0x29b5…63d7
Event PnL
+$142.31
Volume
$24,521.74
Positions
NRGNRGUnder+2
LL2
lllllllIlll
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-$75.00
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$14,999.95
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NRG
QU3
quavoo
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+$0.16
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SE4
sentrio
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+$19.91
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$6,382.89
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NRGNRGUnder+1
SK5
skyman44
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+$9.94
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$5,510.53
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Marsborne
CH6
chaeri
Event PnL
-$4.94
Volume
$2,886.86
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Marsborne
PO7
poshposh
Event PnL
-$25.13
Volume
$2,759.99
Positions
MarsborneOver
DI8
Divinev
Event PnL
-$13.17
Volume
$2,634.00
Positions
MarsborneMarsborne

よくある質問

「Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5) が 9,000% の勝率で首位、続いて Map 2 Winner(8,600%)、O/U 2.5 Games(8,550%)。このプールの総取引高は $119.4K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

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