Frosinone Calcio vs. SS Juve Stabia

$74K Vol
Aug 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Yes 100.0%
No 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Frosinone Calcio vs. SS Juve Stabia”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Frosinone Calcio is dominating the market with an overwhelming 55.5% chance of winning. SS Juve Stabia follows in second place at 19%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $74K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Frosinone Calcio (55.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Frosinone Calcio is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 56¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $68.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • SS Juve Stabia (19%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, SS Juve Stabia maintains a 19% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 19¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Frosinone Calcio55.5%$68.8K56¢44¢
2SS Juve Stabia19.0%$4.5K19¢81¢

Result Rules

This event is for the upcoming Coppa Italia game, scheduled for Sunday, August 16, 2026 between Frosinone Calcio and SS Juve Stabia.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies SS Juve Stabia as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 19% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 20.1% — yielding an impressive +1.1% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Frosinone Calcio55.5%56.1%+0.6%
SS Juve StabiaBest EV19.0%20.1%+1.1%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 16, 2026

  • 06:39 AM
    JOjodz.kusumo
    $10.00

    Bought 17.857141 Yes for Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-08-16? at 0.56

  • 05:47 AM
    SGsgtmike
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754383 Yes for Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-08-16? at 0.57

  • 05:47 AM
    KEKevinL.eth
    $56.84

    Sold 105.26 Yes for Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-08-16? at 0.54

  • 04:56 AM
    TAtaichu-jing
    $2.85

    Bought 5 Yes for Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-08-16? at 0.57

  • 04:31 AM
    KEKevinL.eth
    $60.00

    Bought 105.263155 Yes for Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-08-16? at 0.57

  • 04:00 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $5.06

    Bought 11.5 No for Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-08-16? at 0.44

  • 04:00 AM
    PUpups10
    $0.09

    Bought 0.2 No for Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-08-16? at 0.44

  • 03:52 AM
    AMamiramirel
    $130.15

    Bought 228.328946 Yes for Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-08-16? at 0.57

  • 02:01 AM
    BAbanzhuan.ai
    $1.00

    Bought 1.219511 No for Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-08-16? at 0.82

Aug 15, 2026

  • 10:37 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $12.83

    Bought 51.32 Yes for Will Frosinone Calcio vs. SS Juve Stabia end in a draw? at 0.25

  • 09:29 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $11.02

    Bought 58 Yes for Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-08-16? at 0.19

  • 09:11 PM
    $5.10

    Bought 11.590908 No for Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-08-16? at 0.44

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

BI1
bigspending
Event PnL
+$16,912.28
Volume
$56,487.09
Positions
Yes
1X2
1xx3
Event PnL
-$2,901.33
Volume
$9,835.00
Positions
No
1X3
1xx2
Event PnL
-$2,308.00
Volume
$7,326.99
Positions
No
RN4
RN1
Event PnL
-$2,065.00
Volume
$6,970.78
Positions
No
NM5
NM-P
Event PnL
-$1,659.02
Volume
$5,583.31
Positions
NoNo
GC6
GC-P
Event PnL
-$1,648.01
Volume
$5,347.52
Positions
No
LU7
LuckyLoo
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$5,252.35
Positions
No
DV8
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$918.66
Volume
$3,012.00
Positions
No

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Frosinone Calcio vs. SS Juve Stabia"?

As of the latest update, Frosinone Calcio leads the field as the frontrunner with a 55.5% win probability, followed by SS Juve Stabia at 19%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $74K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags SS Juve Stabia as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 19% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 20.1% — an Expected Value gap of +1.1%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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