How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 0 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4,750% chance of winning. 2 follows in second place at 4,550%, while 1 sits in third with 4,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $2, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• 0 (4,750%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 0 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 4,750¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• 2 (4,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 2 maintains a 4,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,550¢.
• 1 (4,500%): Sitting in third place with a 4,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

• Alternative Options: This includes 3 (4,500%), and 4+ (4,500%).
• Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 3 are still attracting notable interest.

The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.