United States vs. Belgium - Player Props
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “United States vs. Belgium - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Timothy Castagne: 1+ shots is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Folarin Balogun: 2+ shots follows in second place at 9,000%, while Alex Freeman: 2+ shots sits in third with 9,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $624K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Timothy Castagne: 1+ shots (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Timothy Castagne: 1+ shots is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $71 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Folarin Balogun: 2+ shots (9,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Folarin Balogun: 2+ shots maintains a 9,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,000¢.
- Alex Freeman: 2+ shots (9,000%): Sitting in third place with a 9,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Alex Freeman: 2+ shots, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ shots (5,150%), Youri Tielemans: 2+ shots (5,150%), and Folarin Balogun: 3+ shots (5,100%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Leandro Trossard: 4+ shots are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothy Castagne: 1+ shots | 9995.0% | $71 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Folarin Balogun: 2+ shots | 9000.0% | $93 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 3 | Alex Freeman: 2+ shots | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 4 | Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ shots | 5150.0% | $2.2K | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 5 | Youri Tielemans: 2+ shots | 5150.0% | $1.4K | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 6 | Folarin Balogun: 3+ shots | 5100.0% | $1.0K | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 7 | Leandro Trossard: 4+ shots | 5100.0% | $19 | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 8 | Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ shots on target | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Brandon Mechele: 1+ shots on target | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Timothy Castagne: 1+ shots on target | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Youri Tielemans: 1+ shots on target | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Youri Tielemans: 2+ shots on target | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Maxim De Cuyper: 1+ shots on target | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Leandro Trossard: 1+ shots on target | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 15 | Leandro Trossard: 2+ shots on target | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 16 | Romelu Lukaku: 2+ shots on target | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 17 | Thibaut Courtois: 2+ saves | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 18 | Youri Tielemans: 3+ shots | 4905.0% | $849 | 4905¢ | -4805¢ |
| 19 | Folarin Balogun: 4+ shots | 4900.0% | $12 | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 20 | Leandro Trossard: 5+ shots | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 21 | Brandon Mechele: 1+ shots | 4900.0% | $122 | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 22 | Timothy Castagne: 2+ shots | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 23 | Weston McKennie: 1+ shots | 4900.0% | $110 | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 24 | Maxim De Cuyper: 1+ shots | 4900.0% | $1 | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 25 | Dodi Lukebakio: 3+ shots | 4800.0% | $81 | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 26 | Christian Pulisic: 1+ shots | 1100.0% | $35 | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 27 | Antonee Robinson: 1+ shots | 1005.0% | $58 | 1005¢ | -905¢ |
| 28 | Alex Freeman: 3+ shots | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 29 | Chris Richards: 1+ shots | 1000.0% | $50 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 30 | Malik Tillman: 2+ shots | 1000.0% | $2 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 31 | Sergiño Dest: 1+ shots | 1000.0% | $8 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 32 | Tim Ream: 1+ shots | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 33 | Tyler Adams: 1+ shots | 1000.0% | $55 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 34 | Alex Freeman: 1+ shots on target | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 35 | Malik Tillman: 2+ shots on target | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 36 | Sergiño Dest: 1+ shots on target | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 37 | Tim Ream: 1+ shots on target | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 38 | Tyler Adams: 1+ shots on target | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 39 | Romelu Lukaku: 2+ shots | 50.0% | $734 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
Result Rules
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between United States and Belgium, scheduled for July 6 at 8:00 PM ET.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "United States vs. Belgium - Player Props"?
As of the latest update, Timothy Castagne: 1+ shots leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Folarin Balogun: 2+ shots at 9,000% and Alex Freeman: 2+ shots at 9,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $624K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.