EWC CS2 2026: Make Grand Finals

Jan 1, 1
Resolved
Probability Trend
Team Vitality 36.0%
MOUZ 24.0%
Team Spirit 20.0%
Team Falcons 20.0%
Natus Vincere 19.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “EWC CS2 2026: Make Grand Finals”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Team Vitality is dominating the market with an overwhelming 3,600% chance of winning. MOUZ follows in second place at 2,400%, while Team Spirit sits in third with 2,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Team Vitality (3,600%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Team Vitality is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 3,600¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • MOUZ (2,400%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, MOUZ maintains a 2,400% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 2,400¢.
  • Team Spirit (2,000%): Sitting in third place with a 2,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Team Spirit, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Team Falcons (2,000%), Natus Vincere (1,900%), and BB Team (1,600%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like FURIA are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Team Vitality3600.0%3600¢-3500¢
2MOUZ2400.0%2400¢-2300¢
3Team Spirit2000.0%2000¢-1900¢
4Team Falcons2000.0%2000¢-1900¢
5Natus Vincere1900.0%1900¢-1800¢
6BB Team1600.0%1600¢-1500¢
7FURIA1150.0%1150¢-1050¢
8G2 Esports1000.0%1000¢-900¢
9Astralis900.0%900¢-800¢
10FUT Esports900.0%900¢-800¢
11paiN Gaming900.0%900¢-800¢
12Lynn Vision Gaming850.0%850¢-750¢
13The MongolZ850.0%850¢-750¢
14Aurora Gaming800.0%800¢-700¢
15FaZe Clan700.0%700¢-600¢
169z Globant650.0%650¢-550¢
17PVISION600.0%600¢-500¢
18M80500.0%500¢-400¢
19Legacy500.0%500¢-400¢
20TYLOO500.0%500¢-400¢
21GamerLegion500.0%500¢-400¢
22B8500.0%500¢-400¢
23magic500.0%500¢-400¢
24NIP.eStar400.0%400¢-300¢
253DMAX400.0%400¢-300¢
26Wildcard400.0%400¢-300¢
27MIBR.LOS400.0%400¢-300¢
28Luminosity400.0%400¢-300¢
29100 Thieves400.0%400¢-300¢
30BIG400.0%400¢-300¢
31K27 Esports250.0%250¢-150¢
32JiJieHao250.0%$5250¢-150¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is one of the two teams that competes in the Grand Final of the Counter-Strike 2 tournament at the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC 2026), currently scheduled for August 12 – August 23, 2026, with the Grand Final scheduled for August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."

A team is considered to have made the Grand Final upon officially advancing to that match as published by the tournament organizer. Advancement by walkover, forfeit, or opponent withdrawal counts the same as advancement by match result.

If the tournament format is changed such that the final match is not designated a "Grand Final," this market will resolve according to the single championship-deciding match of the tournament as published by the tournament organizer.

If this tournament is postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the Grand Final participants have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "EWC CS2 2026: Make Grand Finals"?

As of the latest update, Team Vitality leads the field as the frontrunner with a 3,600% win probability, followed by MOUZ at 2,400% and Team Spirit at 2,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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