
"Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “"Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, <20m is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,750% chance of winning. 20-25m follows in second place at 2,600%, while 25-30m sits in third with 2,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $79, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- <20m (6,750%): Currently commanding the highest probability, <20m is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,750¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- 20-25m (2,600%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 20-25m maintains a 2,600% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 2,600¢.
- 25-30m (2,250%): Sitting in third place with a 2,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 25-30m, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes 30-35m (1,100%), 35-40m (800%), and >40m (150%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 30-35m are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | <20m | 6750.0% | — | 6750¢ | -6650¢ |
| 2 | 20-25m | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 3 | 25-30m | 2250.0% | — | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
| 4 | 30-35m | 1100.0% | — | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 5 | 35-40m | 800.0% | — | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 6 | >40m | 150.0% | $79 | 150¢ | -50¢ |
Result Rules
This market will resolve according to how much "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on ""Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office"?
As of the latest update, <20m leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,750% win probability, followed by 20-25m at 2,600% and 25-30m at 2,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $79, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
