Esports Awards: Mobile Game of the Year

Jan 1, 1
Resolved
Probability Trend
Mobile Legends: Bang Bang 46.0%
PUBG Mobile 32.5%
Free Fire 11.5%
Honor of Kings 10.5%
Brawl Stars 4.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Esports Awards: Mobile Game of the Year”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Mobile Legends: Bang Bang is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Honor of Kings follows in second place at 5,000%, while PUBG Mobile sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Mobile Legends: Bang Bang (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Mobile Legends: Bang Bang is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Honor of Kings (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Honor of Kings maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • PUBG Mobile (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward PUBG Mobile, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Free Fire (5,000%), Brawl Stars (5,000%), and Identity V (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Free Fire are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Mobile Legends: Bang Bang5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Honor of Kings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3PUBG Mobile5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Free Fire5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Brawl Stars5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Identity V5000.0%5000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve according to the game that wins Esports Mobile Game of the Year at the 2026 Esports Awards, scheduled to take place in Miami, Florida in November 2026.

If the award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple games are named co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Esports Awards (esportsawards.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Esports Awards: Mobile Game of the Year"?

As of the latest update, Mobile Legends: Bang Bang leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by Honor of Kings at 5,000% and PUBG Mobile at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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