
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs
Resumen Principal
Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.
Actualmente, Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5) domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 9995%. Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5) le sigue en segundo lugar con 9995%, mientras que Any Player Quadra Kill se sitúa tercero con 9950%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $546,1K, lo que refleja un enorme interés.
Desglose de Niveles Competitivos
Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:
🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5) (9995%): Con la probabilidad más alta, Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5) cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 9995¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado. Solo este contrato ha generado $3.5K de volumen.
🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes
- Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5) (9995%): Como la alternativa más viable, Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5) mantiene una probabilidad del 9995% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 9995¢.
- Any Player Quadra Kill (9950%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 9950%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia Any Player Quadra Kill, tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.
🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)
Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:
- Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye First Blood in Game 1? (9950%), First Blood in Game 3? (9050%) y Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (9000%).
- Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como Both Teams Slay a Dragon siguen atrayendo un interés notable.
Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios
La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:
| Rango | Resultado Previsto | Probabilidad | Volumen | Comprar Sí (Coste) | Comprar No (Coste) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5) | 9995.0% | $3.5K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5) | 9995.0% | $20.1K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 4 | First Blood in Game 1? | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 5 | First Blood in Game 3? | 9050.0% | $56 | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 8 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 9000.0% | $30 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 10 | First Blood in Game 2? | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 11 | Game 4 Winner | 5050.0% | $5.7K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $30 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $30 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | First Blood in Game 4? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 26 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 27 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 28 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 1000.0% | $30 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 29 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 30 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 31 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 32 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 1000.0% | $30 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 33 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 34 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 35 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 36 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 37 | Game 1 Winner | 5.0% | $131.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 38 | Game 2 Winner | 5.0% | $230.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 39 | Game 3 Winner | 5.0% | $81.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 40 | Match Winner | 5.0% | $45.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 41 | O/U 3.5 Games | 5.0% | $20.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 42 | O/U 4.5 Games | 5.0% | $7.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 43 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Reglas de Resolución
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between TLN Pirates and Galions in the LFL Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "TLN Pirates" if TLN Pirates win the match against Galions.
This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win the match against TLN Pirates.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Actividad de Trading
Aquí está la actividad de trading de este evento.
Aug 26, 2026
- 08:28 AMTHTheThighMaster$5.00
Bought 29.411763 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.17
- 08:15 AMLLlL1ll$12.94
Bought 15.4 Galions for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.84
- 08:09 AMBUbub111$3.00
Bought 17.647057 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.17
- 08:09 AMSUSuper01$1.00
Bought 5.882351 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.17
- 07:59 AMAGAGBetsCo$33.99
Bought 199.941175 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.17
- 04:01 AM——$1.00
Bought 1.190475 Galions for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.84
- 04:00 AMFOforgedinlol$4.20
Bought 5 Galions for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.84
- 03:23 AMGBgbby123$26.00
Bought 152.941175 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.17
- 03:20 AMLLLLOTTI$4.20
Bought 5 Galions for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.84
- 03:20 AMGBgbby123$343.14
Bought 1906.354735 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs at 0.18
- 03:15 AMQUqueenshaniqua$1.06
Bought 1.682537 TLN Pirates for Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5) at 0.63
- 03:15 AMANAntiVaxxer$3.15
Bought 5 TLN Pirates for Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5) at 0.63
Carteras Ballena que Apuestan en Este Evento
Preguntas Frecuentes
¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs"?
A fecha de la última actualización, Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5) lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 9995%, seguido de Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5) con 9995% y Any Player Quadra Kill con 9950%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $546,1K, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.
