
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Resumen Principal
Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.
Actualmente, Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5) domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 5350%. Ends in Daytime le sigue en segundo lugar con 5000%, mientras que Ends in Daytime se sitúa tercero con 5000%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $1,5K, lo que refleja un enorme interés.
Desglose de Niveles Competitivos
Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:
🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5) (5350%): Con la probabilidad más alta, Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5) cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 5350¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado. Solo este contrato ha generado $5.4K de volumen.
🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes
- Ends in Daytime (5000%): Como la alternativa más viable, Ends in Daytime mantiene una probabilidad del 5000% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 5000¢.
- Ends in Daytime (5000%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 5000%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia Ends in Daytime, tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.
🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)
Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:
- Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye Ends in Daytime (5000%), Both Teams Beat Roshan (5000%) y Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5000%).
- Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como Any Player Ultra Kill siguen atrayendo un interés notable.
Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios
La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:
| Rango | Resultado Previsto | Probabilidad | Volumen | Comprar Sí (Coste) | Comprar No (Coste) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5) | 5350.0% | $5.4K | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 2 | Ends in Daytime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Ends in Daytime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Ends in Daytime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Any Player Rampage | 5000.0% | $520 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | First Blood in Game 1? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | O/U 2.5 Games | 3850.0% | $12 | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 16 | Game 1 Winner | 2650.0% | $948 | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 17 | Game 2 Winner | 2650.0% | $265 | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 19 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 21 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 22 | Match Winner | 2050.0% | $11.6K | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 23 | Any Player Rampage | 1050.0% | $520 | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 24 | Any Player Rampage | 800.0% | $520 | 800¢ | -700¢ |
Reglas de Resolución
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 5 match between Nigma Galaxy and Team Spirit in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Team Spirit.
This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Nigma Galaxy.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Preguntas Frecuentes
¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage"?
A fecha de la última actualización, Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5) lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 5350%, seguido de Ends in Daytime con 5000% y Ends in Daytime con 5000%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $1,5K, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.
