Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs

$119,4K Vol
30 jul 2026
Active
Tendencia de Probabilidad
NRG 73.0%
Marsborne 27.0%

Resumen Principal

Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.

Actualmente, Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5) domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 9000%. Map 2 Winner le sigue en segundo lugar con 8600%, mientras que O/U 2.5 Games se sitúa tercero con 8550%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $119,4K, lo que refleja un enorme interés.

Desglose de Niveles Competitivos

Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:

🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante

  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5) (9000%): Con la probabilidad más alta, Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5) cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 9000¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado.

🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes

  • Map 2 Winner (8600%): Como la alternativa más viable, Map 2 Winner mantiene una probabilidad del 8600% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 8600¢.
  • O/U 2.5 Games (8550%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 8550%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia O/U 2.5 Games, tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.

🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)

Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:

  • Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye Match Winner (6300%), Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Marsborne (+3.5) (5000%) y Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Marsborne (+3.5) (5000%).
  • Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 siguen atrayendo un interés notable.

Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios

La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:

RangoResultado PrevistoProbabilidadVolumenComprar Sí (Coste)Comprar No (Coste)
1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
2Map 2 Winner8600.0%$2.9K8600¢-8500¢
3O/U 2.5 Games8550.0%$4.6K8550¢-8450¢
4Match Winner6300.0%$61.7K6300¢-6200¢
5Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Marsborne (+3.5)5000.0%$3875000¢-4900¢
6Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Marsborne (+3.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Map Handicap: MARS (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Marsborne (+6.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51000.0%$2611000¢-900¢
12Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51000.0%$51000¢-900¢
13Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Marsborne (+6.5)1000.0%$51000¢-900¢
14Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-9.5) vs NRG (+9.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
15Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Marsborne (+3.5)950.0%$3.2K950¢-850¢
16Map 1 Winner5.0%$30.8K95¢
17Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5)5.0%$15.5K95¢

Reglas de Resolución

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between NRG and Marsborne in the StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 29 at 6:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against Marsborne.

This market will resolve to "Marsborne" if Marsborne win the match against NRG.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Actividad de Trading

Aquí está la actividad de trading de este evento.

Jul 29, 2026

  • 08:27 PM
    DUdusty.yyy
    $0.88

    Sold 1.58 NRG for Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5) at 0.56

  • 08:20 PM
    DUdusty.yyy
    $1.02

    Sold 1.82 NRG for Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5) at 0.56

  • 08:18 PM
    QUquavoo
    $2.70

    Bought 9 Marsborne for Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winner at 0.3

  • 08:16 PM
    QUquavoo
    $1.50

    Bought 5 Marsborne for Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winner at 0.3

  • 08:14 PM
    QUquavoo
    $1.20

    Bought 4 Marsborne for Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winner at 0.3

  • 08:14 PM
    QUquavoo
    $5.70

    Bought 19 Marsborne for Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winner at 0.3

  • 08:09 PM
    QUquavoo
    $4.64

    Bought 16 Marsborne for Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winner at 0.29

  • 08:03 PM
    QUquavoo
    $17.69

    Bought 61 Marsborne for Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winner at 0.29

  • 08:01 PM
    KEkeviiinye
    $2.00

    Bought 4.545453 Marsborne for Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 07:58 PM
    636324lilaoba
    $134.65

    Bought 708.7 Marsborne for Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs at 0.19

  • 07:56 PM
    ARarahbo
    $53.28

    Bought 144 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.37

  • 07:53 PM
    DOdovetail
    $15.49

    Bought 36.03 Marsborne for Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5) at 0.43

Carteras Ballena que Apuestan en Este Evento

291
0x29b5…63d7
Event PnL
+$142.31
Volume
$24,521.74
Positions
NRGNRGUnder+2
LL2
lllllllIlll
Event PnL
-$75.00
Volume
$14,999.95
Positions
NRG
QU3
quavoo
Event PnL
+$0.16
Volume
$7,828.00
Positions
MarsborneMarsborne
SE4
sentrio
Event PnL
+$19.91
Volume
$6,382.89
Positions
NRGNRGUnder+1
SK5
skyman44
Event PnL
+$9.94
Volume
$5,510.53
Positions
Marsborne
CH6
chaeri
Event PnL
-$4.94
Volume
$2,886.86
Positions
Marsborne
PO7
poshposh
Event PnL
-$25.13
Volume
$2,759.99
Positions
MarsborneOver
DI8
Divinev
Event PnL
-$13.17
Volume
$2,634.00
Positions
MarsborneMarsborne

Preguntas Frecuentes

¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs"?

A fecha de la última actualización, Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5) lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 9000%, seguido de Map 2 Winner con 8600% y O/U 2.5 Games con 8550%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $119,4K, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.

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