Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. ADO Den Haag - More Markets

$272K Vol
Aug 30, 2026
Resolved
Probability Trend
Under 100.0%
Over 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. ADO Den Haag - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 52.5% chance of winning. Both Teams to Score in First Half follows in second place at 22%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $272K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (52.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 53¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $12.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams to Score in First Half (22%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams to Score in First Half maintains a 22% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 22¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score52.5%$12.1K53¢48¢
2Both Teams to Score in First Half22.0%$41422¢78¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Eredivisie game, scheduled for August 30 at 8:30 AM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 52.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 49.8%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -2.8%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score in First Half as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 22% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 22.6% — yielding an impressive +0.6% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score52.5%49.8%-2.8%
Both Teams to Score in First HalfBest EV22.0%22.6%+0.6%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 30, 2026

  • 08:02 AM
    SUsuntori
    $31.42

    Bought 47.606058 Feyenoord Rotterdam for Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5) at 0.66

  • 07:49 AM
    SUsuntori
    $2.85

    Bought 4.318179 Feyenoord Rotterdam for Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5) at 0.66

  • 07:44 AM
    SUsuntori
    $476.18

    Bought 523.274722 Over for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 1.5 at 0.91

  • 07:40 AM
    JDJDVancePresident
    $9.99

    Bought 13.15 Over for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 2.5 at 0.76

  • 07:40 AM
    JDJDVancePresident
    $10.00

    Bought 19.23 Yes for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. ADO Den Haag: Both Teams to Score at 0.52

  • 07:34 AM
    $12.27

    Bought 23.596152 Yes for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. ADO Den Haag: Both Teams to Score at 0.52

  • 07:31 AM
    BOBodilix
    $1.00

    Bought 1.51515 Feyenoord Rotterdam for Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5) at 0.66

  • 07:12 AM
    CHChalinovsky
    $1.00

    Bought 1.219511 Under for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 5.5 at 0.82

  • 07:12 AM
    CHChalinovsky
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Under for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 4.5 at 0.67

  • 07:10 AM
    MYMyGoldenBoy
    $2.50

    Bought 5 No for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. ADO Den Haag: Both Teams to Score at 0.5

  • 07:10 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $68.42

    Bought 136.84 Yes for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. ADO Den Haag: Both Teams to Score at 0.5

  • 07:08 AM
    DJDjaikoku
    $6.00

    Bought 10.909088 Over for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 3.5 at 0.55

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

UP1
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$25.35
Volume
$53,470.77
Positions
UnderUnderADO Den Haag+15
RN2
RN1
Event PnL
-$1,009.58
Volume
$20,320.59
Positions
OverUnderYes+8
SN3
SnakeBall
Event PnL
-$90.70
Volume
$18,694.05
Positions
UnderUnderNo+17
GO4
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$110.13
Volume
$16,377.22
Positions
OverOverFeyenoord Rotterdam+5
785
0x7879…8384
Event PnL
-$2,824.27
Volume
$14,964.86
Positions
OverOverOver+1
076
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$5,747.11
Volume
$13,802.63
Positions
ADO Den HaagUnderOver+1
E87
0xE84a…8737
Event PnL
-$4,104.41
Volume
$9,453.39
Positions
OverOver
FL8
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$476.94
Volume
$8,195.32
Positions
UnderOverFeyenoord Rotterdam+18

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. ADO Den Haag - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 52.5% win probability, followed by Both Teams to Score in First Half at 22%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $272K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score in First Half as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 22% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 22.6% — an Expected Value gap of +0.6%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 52.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 49.8%, a negative EV Gap of -2.8% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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