Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

$1.9M Vol
Jul 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Team Yandex 73.5%
Team Spirit 26.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Any Player Ultra Kill follows in second place at 9,995%, while Ends in Daytime sits in third with 9,005%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $1.9M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.4M in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Any Player Ultra Kill (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Any Player Ultra Kill maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Ends in Daytime (9,005%): Sitting in third place with a 9,005% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Ends in Daytime, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Match Winner (7,950%), Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5) (6,900%), and O/U 2.5 Games (6,300%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game 2 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$1.4M9995¢-9895¢
2Any Player Ultra Kill9995.0%$2109995¢-9895¢
3Ends in Daytime9005.0%$59005¢-8905¢
4Match Winner7950.0%$273.5K7950¢-7850¢
5Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)6900.0%$10.6K6900¢-6800¢
6O/U 2.5 Games6300.0%$2.0K6300¢-6200¢
7Game 2 Winner5650.0%$382.6K5650¢-5550¢
8Ends in Daytime5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Rampage5000.0%$315000¢-4900¢
12Ends in Daytime5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%$2105000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Rampage5000.0%$315000¢-4900¢
17First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5000.0%$2005000¢-4900¢
19Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?5000.0%$2.0K5000¢-4900¢
20Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Ultra Kill1550.0%$2101550¢-1450¢
22Both Teams Destroy Barracks995.0%$5995¢-895¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?995.0%$30995¢-895¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?95.0%$1595¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?95.0%$1595¢
26Both Teams Beat Roshan50.0%$550¢50¢
27First Blood in Game 1?50.0%$550¢50¢
28Any Player Rampage25.0%$3125¢75¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?25.0%$1525¢75¢
30Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?25.0%$1525¢75¢
31Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?25.0%$1525¢75¢
32Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)5.0%$3095¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Quarterfinal 3 match between Team Yandex and Team Spirit in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 17 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against Team Spirit.

This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Team Yandex.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 16, 2026

  • 08:15 AM
    ROromn77
    $3.00

    Bought 4.761902 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.63

  • 08:14 AM
    ALalmet
    $449.82

    Bought 714 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.63

  • 08:07 AM
    VLvlxalx
    $3.00

    Bought 4.761902 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.63

  • 08:01 AM
    VIVincent313
    $1,000.00

    Bought 1587.301586 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.63

  • 07:48 AM
    ARartsonx
    $2,000.00

    Bought 3174.603172 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.63

  • 07:11 AM
    0X0x2f26783515E683eC426802D7D9ad1cA2F6E4F1aE-1780674923683
    $10.00

    Bought 15.873013 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.63

  • 07:06 AM
    UNunkwnn
    $12.00

    Bought 19.047618 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.63

  • 06:38 AM
    0X0xe8b532CC087C4f24864dBFC46ef406908c31c111-1783087596876
    $41.00

    Bought 65.079364 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.63

  • 06:31 AM
    MGmgnlv
    $395.38

    Bought 627.5873 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.63

  • 06:28 AM
    BABadlight
    $6.30

    Bought 10 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.63

  • 05:41 AM
    RTrtyzxx
    $3.50

    Bought 5.555554 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.63

  • 05:35 AM
    MImistermasked
    $100.00

    Bought 263.157893 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.38

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

E11
0xE16D…0592
Event PnL
+$436.31
Volume
$68,244.45
Positions
Team YandexTeam YandexTeam Yandex+1
SU2
superbeter007
Event PnL
-$447.48
Volume
$49,407.07
Positions
Team Yandex
VE3
Vetch
Event PnL
+$712.66
Volume
$47,510.82
Positions
Team Spirit
AR4
arongarongarong
Event PnL
-$57.45
Volume
$14,285.10
Positions
Team YandexTeam YandexTeam Yandex+1
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$48.81
Volume
$13,887.83
Positions
Team SpiritTeam Spirit
LE6
lerequin
Event PnL
+$9.81
Volume
$9,999.91
Positions
Team Spirit
AL7
alexdave888
Event PnL
-$33.62
Volume
$9,064.04
Positions
Team SpiritTeam Spirit
EL8
EliteAthleteMentality
Event PnL
-$40.50
Volume
$8,099.98
Positions
Team Yandex

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Any Player Ultra Kill at 9,995% and Ends in Daytime at 9,005%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $1.9M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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