Spain vs. Argentina - Player Props

$985 Vol
Jul 19, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 94.5%
Yes 5.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Spain vs. Argentina - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Lionel Messi: 1+ shots is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,900% chance of winning. Enzo Fernández: 2+ shots follows in second place at 7,650%, while Julián Álvarez: 1+ shots sits in third with 7,400%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $985, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Lionel Messi: 1+ shots (7,900%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Lionel Messi: 1+ shots is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,900¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Enzo Fernández: 2+ shots (7,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Enzo Fernández: 2+ shots maintains a 7,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,650¢.
  • Julián Álvarez: 1+ shots (7,400%): Sitting in third place with a 7,400% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Julián Álvarez: 1+ shots, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots (7,350%), Enzo Fernández: 1+ shots (6,900%), and Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots (6,700%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shots are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Lionel Messi: 1+ shots7900.0%7900¢-7800¢
2Enzo Fernández: 2+ shots7650.0%$277650¢-7550¢
3Julián Álvarez: 1+ shots7400.0%7400¢-7300¢
4Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots7350.0%7350¢-7250¢
5Enzo Fernández: 1+ shots6900.0%6900¢-6800¢
6Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots6700.0%6700¢-6600¢
7Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shots5900.0%5900¢-5800¢
8Dani Olmo: 1+ shots5900.0%5900¢-5800¢
9Lionel Messi: 2+ shots5900.0%5900¢-5800¢
10Lionel Messi: 1+ shots on target5850.0%5850¢-5750¢
11Alex Baena: 1+ shots5750.0%5750¢-5650¢
12Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots on target5400.0%5400¢-5300¢
13Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
14David Raya: 2+ saves5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15David Raya: 3+ saves5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16David Raya: 4+ saves5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17David Raya: 5+ saves5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Juan Musso: 2+ saves5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Juan Musso: 3+ saves5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Juan Musso: 4+ saves5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Juan Musso: 5+ saves5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Nico Williams: 1+ assists5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Alex Baena: 2+ goals + assists5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Enzo Fernández: 2+ goals + assists5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Ferrán Torres: 2+ goals + assists5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Ferrán Torres: 3+ goals + assists5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Giuliano Simeone: 2+ goals + assists5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals + assists5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Lamine Yamal: 4+ goals + assists5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals + assists5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Lionel Messi: 2+ goals + assists5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals + assists5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goals + assists5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34Nico Williams: 2+ goals + assists5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
35Nico Williams: 3+ goals + assists5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
36Nicolás González: 1+ goals + assists5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
37Alex Baena: 1+ shots on target5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
38Cucurella: 1+ shots on target5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
39Cucurella: 2+ shots on target5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
40Dani Olmo: 1+ shots on target5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
41Julián Álvarez: 1+ shots on target5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
42Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots on target5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
43Lamine Yamal: 3+ shots on target5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
44Lionel Messi: 2+ shots on target5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
45Rodri: 1+ shots on target5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
46Julián Álvarez: 2+ assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
47Alex Baena: 1+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
48Alex Baena: 3+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
49Alex Baena: 4+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
50Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
51Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
52Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
53Alexis Mac Allister: 4+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
54Dani Olmo: 1+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
55Dani Olmo: 2+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
56Dani Olmo: 3+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
57Dani Olmo: 4+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
58Enzo Fernández: 1+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
59Enzo Fernández: 3+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
60Enzo Fernández: 4+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
61Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
62Fabián Ruiz: 2+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
63Fabián Ruiz: 3+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
64Fabián Ruiz: 4+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
65Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
66Ferrán Torres: 4+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
67Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
68Giuliano Simeone: 3+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
69Giuliano Simeone: 4+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
70Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
71Julián Álvarez: 2+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
72Julián Álvarez: 3+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
73Julián Álvarez: 4+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
74Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
75Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
76Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
77Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
78Lautaro Martínez: 4+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
79Lionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
80Lionel Messi: 3+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
81Lionel Messi: 4+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
82Mikel Merino: 1+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
83Mikel Merino: 2+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
84Mikel Merino: 3+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
85Mikel Merino: 4+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
86Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
87Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
88Nico Williams: 1+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
89Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
90Nicolás González: 2+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
91Nicolás González: 3+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
92Nicolás González: 4+ goals + assists4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
93Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots on target4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
94Lamine Yamal: 4+ shots on target4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
95Pedri: 1+ shots on target4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
96Pedri: 2+ shots on target4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
97Gavi Paez: 2+ goals4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
98Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
99Lionel Messi: 3+ shots4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
100Lautaro Martínez: 2+ assists4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
101Giuliano Simeone: 2+ assists4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
102Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots4700.0%4700¢-4600¢
103Lamine Yamal: 2+ assists4650.0%4650¢-4550¢
104Nico Williams: 2+ assists4650.0%4650¢-4550¢
105Enzo Fernández: 2+ assists4600.0%4600¢-4500¢
106Enzo Fernández: 1+ shots on target4550.0%4550¢-4450¢
107Lionel Messi: 1+ assists4500.0%4500¢-4400¢
108Nicolás Paz: 2+ goals4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
109Yeremi Pino: 2+ goals4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
110Julián Álvarez: 2+ shots4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
111Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots on target4350.0%4350¢-4250¢
112Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shots on target4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
113Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ shots on target4150.0%4150¢-4050¢
114Leandro Paredes: 1+ shots on target4100.0%4100¢-4000¢
115Leandro Paredes: 1+ shots4050.0%4050¢-3950¢
116Julián Álvarez: 2+ shots on target4000.0%4000¢-3900¢
117Pedro Porro: 1+ shots on target4000.0%4000¢-3900¢
118Lamine Yamal: 3+ shots3850.0%3850¢-3750¢
119Lionel Messi: 3+ shots on target3850.0%3850¢-3750¢
120Aymeric Laporte: 1+ shots on target3800.0%3800¢-3700¢
121Pau Cubarsí: 1+ shots on target3800.0%3800¢-3700¢
122Cristian Romero: 1+ shots on target3700.0%3700¢-3600¢
123Dani Olmo: 1+ assists3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
124Ferrán Torres: 1+ assists3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
125Dani Olmo: 2+ shots3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
126Rodri: 1+ shots3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
127Nicolás Tagliafico: 1+ shots on target3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
128Alex Baena: 1+ assists3600.0%3600¢-3500¢
129Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assists3600.0%3600¢-3500¢
130Nahuel Molina: 1+ shots on target3600.0%3600¢-3500¢
131Pedri: 1+ shots3550.0%3550¢-3450¢
132Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shots on target3550.0%3550¢-3450¢
133Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goals3500.0%3500¢-3400¢
134Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assists3500.0%3500¢-3400¢
135Alex Baena: 2+ shots on target3500.0%3500¢-3400¢
136Dani Olmo: 2+ shots on target3500.0%3500¢-3400¢
137Fabián Ruiz: 2+ assists3450.0%3450¢-3350¢
138Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assists3450.0%3450¢-3350¢
139Julián Álvarez: 1+ assists3450.0%3450¢-3350¢
140Alex Baena: 2+ shots3450.0%3450¢-3350¢
141Lionel Messi: 4+ shots3450.0%3450¢-3350¢
142Enzo Fernández: 1+ assists3400.0%3400¢-3300¢
143Ferrán Torres: 2+ assists3400.0%3400¢-3300¢
144Mikel Merino: 1+ assists3400.0%3400¢-3300¢
145Pedro Porro: 1+ shots3400.0%3400¢-3300¢
146Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots on target3400.0%3400¢-3300¢
147Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assists3350.0%3350¢-3250¢
148Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assists3350.0%3350¢-3250¢
149Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assists3300.0%3300¢-3200¢
150Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ shots3300.0%3300¢-3200¢
151Lionel Messi: 4+ shots on target3250.0%3250¢-3150¢
152Nicolás González: 1+ assists3200.0%3200¢-3100¢
153Enzo Fernández: 2+ shots on target3200.0%3200¢-3100¢
154Julián Álvarez: 3+ shots on target3200.0%3200¢-3100¢
155Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ assists3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
156Leandro Paredes: 2+ shots on target3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
157Pedro Porro: 2+ shots on target3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
158Lionel Messi: 1+ goals3050.0%$353050¢-2950¢
159Nicolás González: 2+ assists3050.0%3050¢-2950¢
160Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots3050.0%3050¢-2950¢
161Alex Baena: 3+ shots on target3050.0%3050¢-2950¢
162Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots on target3050.0%3050¢-2950¢
163Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ shots on target3050.0%3050¢-2950¢
164Dani Olmo: 3+ shots on target3000.0%3000¢-2900¢
165Alex Baena: 2+ assists2950.0%2950¢-2850¢
166Lionel Messi: 2+ assists2950.0%2950¢-2850¢
167Nahuel Molina: 1+ shots2950.0%2950¢-2850¢
168Rodrigo de Paul: 2+ shots on target2950.0%2950¢-2850¢
169Dani Olmo: 2+ assists2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
170Mikel Merino: 2+ assists2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
171Cucurella: 1+ shots2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
172Nicolás Tagliafico: 1+ shots2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
173Giovani Lo Celso: 2+ goals2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
174Giuliano Simeone: 2+ goals2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
175Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals2850.0%$852850¢-2750¢
176Lamine Yamal: 4+ shots2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
177Ferrán Torres: 3+ goals2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
178Julián Álvarez: 3+ goals2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
179Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goals2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
180Nicolás González: 2+ goals2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
181Julián Álvarez: 3+ shots2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
182Thiago Almada: 2+ goals2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
183Aymeric Laporte: 1+ shots2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
184Cristian Romero: 1+ shots2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
185Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
186Alex Baena: 2+ goals2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
187Fabián Ruiz: 2+ goals2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
188Lionel Messi: 5+ shots2500.0%$382500¢-2400¢
189Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goals2450.0%2450¢-2350¢
190Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals2450.0%$12450¢-2350¢
191Nico Williams: 2+ goals2450.0%2450¢-2350¢
192Nico Williams: 3+ goals2400.0%$142400¢-2300¢
193Pau Cubarsí: 1+ shots2400.0%2400¢-2300¢
194Alex Baena: 3+ shots2300.0%2300¢-2200¢
195Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shots2300.0%2300¢-2200¢
196Leandro Paredes: 2+ shots2200.0%2200¢-2100¢
197Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals2100.0%$42100¢-2000¢
198Dani Olmo: 3+ shots2100.0%2100¢-2000¢
199Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ shots1900.0%$321900¢-1800¢
200Enzo Fernández: 3+ shots1850.0%1850¢-1750¢
201Lamine Yamal: 5+ shots1800.0%1800¢-1700¢
202Rodrigo de Paul: 2+ shots1700.0%1700¢-1600¢
203Julián Álvarez: 4+ shots1550.0%1550¢-1450¢
204Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals1500.0%1500¢-1400¢
205Pedri: 2+ shots1500.0%1500¢-1400¢
206Rodri: 2+ shots1500.0%1500¢-1400¢
207Alex Baena: 4+ shots1450.0%1450¢-1350¢
208Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals1400.0%$501400¢-1300¢
209Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals1350.0%1350¢-1250¢
210Pedro Porro: 2+ shots1350.0%1350¢-1250¢
211Nicolás Tagliafico: 2+ shots1300.0%1300¢-1200¢
212Nahuel Molina: 2+ shots1250.0%1250¢-1150¢
213Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ shots1150.0%1150¢-1050¢
214Nicolás Paz: 1+ goals1100.0%1100¢-1000¢
215Cucurella: 2+ shots1100.0%1100¢-1000¢
216Dani Olmo: 4+ shots1100.0%1100¢-1000¢
217Enzo Fernández: 4+ shots1050.0%1050¢-950¢
218Nico Williams: 1+ goals1000.0%1000¢-900¢
219Aymeric Laporte: 2+ shots1000.0%1000¢-900¢
220Cristian Romero: 2+ shots1000.0%1000¢-900¢
221Yeremi Pino: 1+ goals950.0%950¢-850¢
222Mikel Merino: 1+ goals850.0%$59850¢-750¢
223Julián Álvarez: 5+ shots850.0%850¢-750¢
224Alex Baena: 1+ goals800.0%800¢-700¢
225Rodrigo de Paul: 3+ shots800.0%800¢-700¢
226Gavi Paez: 1+ goals750.0%750¢-650¢
227Lisandro Martínez: 2+ shots750.0%750¢-650¢
228Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goals700.0%$65700¢-600¢
229Thiago Almada: 1+ goals700.0%700¢-600¢
230Pau Cubarsí: 2+ shots700.0%700¢-600¢
231Dani Olmo: 1+ goals650.0%650¢-550¢
232Enzo Fernández: 1+ goals650.0%$353650¢-550¢
233Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goals650.0%650¢-550¢
234Rodri: 3+ shots650.0%650¢-550¢
235Nicolás González: 1+ goals600.0%600¢-500¢
236Alexis Mac Allister: 4+ shots600.0%600¢-500¢
237Mikel Oyarzabal: 5+ shots600.0%$109600¢-500¢
238Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals550.0%550¢-450¢
239Pedri: 3+ shots550.0%550¢-450¢
240Lionel Messi: 2+ goals500.0%500¢-400¢
241Alex Baena: 5+ shots500.0%500¢-400¢
242Dani Olmo: 5+ shots500.0%500¢-400¢
243Leandro Paredes: 3+ shots500.0%500¢-400¢
244Pedro Porro: 3+ shots500.0%500¢-400¢
245Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goals450.0%$230450¢-350¢
246Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals425.0%425¢-325¢
247Ferrán Torres: 2+ goals350.0%350¢-250¢
248Dani Olmo: 2+ goals315.0%315¢-215¢
249Lionel Messi: 3+ goals310.0%310¢-210¢
250Enzo Fernández: 2+ goals290.0%290¢-190¢
251Mikel Merino: 2+ goals280.0%280¢-180¢
252Julián Álvarez: 2+ goals250.0%250¢-150¢
253Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goals210.0%210¢-110¢
254Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goals185.0%185¢-85¢

Result Rules

Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Argentina, scheduled for July 19 at 3:00 PM ET.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Spain vs. Argentina - Player Props"?

As of the latest update, Lionel Messi: 1+ shots leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,900% win probability, followed by Enzo Fernández: 2+ shots at 7,650% and Julián Álvarez: 1+ shots at 7,400%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $985, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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