Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

$193K Vol
Aug 26, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Spirit Academy 100.0%
summer bear 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game Handicap: TS.A (-1.5) vs summer bear (+1.5) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Both Teams Destroy Barracks follows in second place at 9,050%, while Both Teams Beat Roshan sits in third with 9,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $193K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game Handicap: TS.A (-1.5) vs summer bear (+1.5) (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game Handicap: TS.A (-1.5) vs summer bear (+1.5) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Destroy Barracks (9,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Destroy Barracks maintains a 9,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,050¢.
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,000%): Sitting in third place with a 9,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Beat Roshan, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Ends in Daytime (5,000%), Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%), and Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Ultra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game Handicap: TS.A (-1.5) vs summer bear (+1.5)9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
2Both Teams Destroy Barracks9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
3Both Teams Beat Roshan9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
4Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%$275000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Rampage5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Beat Roshan1000.0%1000¢-900¢
10Any Player Ultra Kill1000.0%$271000¢-900¢
11Any Player Rampage1000.0%$51000¢-900¢
12Ends in Daytime950.0%950¢-850¢
13Any Player Ultra Kill50.0%$2750¢50¢
14Any Player Rampage50.0%$550¢50¢
15Game 2 Winner5.0%$79.3K95¢
16Match Winner5.0%$18.5K95¢
17O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$9895¢
18Game Handicap: SB (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5)5.0%$595¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between summer bear and Spirit Academy in the EPL Masters Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "summer bear" if summer bear win the match against Spirit Academy.

This market will resolve to "Spirit Academy" if Spirit Academy win the match against summer bear.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 8, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 25, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 25, 2026

  • 09:34 PM
    SHshugafa
    $5.00

    Bought 5 No for Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill? at 1

  • 09:34 PM
    SHshugafa
    $5.00

    Bought 5 No for Game 1: Any Player Rampage? at 1

  • 09:28 PM
    SAsashasasha5
    $1,000.14

    Bought 1470.794115 Spirit Academy for Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner at 0.68

  • 09:27 PM
    0X0x8d7750E8eeBC80f6a1066E09ABC80781587d9b9D-1776903149882
    $23.00

    Bought 62.162161 summer bear for Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner at 0.37

  • 09:27 PM
    TEtenegard
    $0.33

    Sold 0.33 Spirit Academy for Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 09:25 PM
    0X0x86f40296c7E74F4C7BCF47ef217AC0F83491BD70-1781545027111
    $305.25

    Bought 825 summer bear for Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner at 0.37

  • 09:24 PM
    RUrudius
    $4.93

    Bought 27.36842 summer bear for Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B at 0.18

  • 09:24 PM
    ABabobus2000
    $109.65

    Bought 129 Spirit Academy for Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B at 0.85

  • 09:24 PM
    BOBookWarrior
    $32.19

    Bought 87 summer bear for Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner at 0.37

  • 09:24 PM
    DSdsknadkasnkfjs
    $2.52

    Bought 3 Spirit Academy for Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B at 0.84

  • 09:23 PM
    0X0xC55002CE5265408cC92c1a9AE5f193C354BFA8d4-1773835036495
    $878.22

    Sold 878.22 Spirit Academy for Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 09:22 PM
    CHChonchon
    $30.10

    Bought 167.222221 summer bear for Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B at 0.18

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CO1
coali10
Event PnL
+$2,789.84
Volume
$39,728.74
Positions
summer bear
CY2
CyberScore.live
Event PnL
-$2,449.96
Volume
$34,999.99
Positions
Spirit Academy
SK3
Skritopoolniy
Event PnL
-$278.97
Volume
$7,097.51
Positions
Spirit Academy
TI4
TIwinner
Event PnL
+$249.29
Volume
$4,839.39
Positions
summer bear
BA5
Barbozaaa321
Event PnL
-$336.13
Volume
$4,801.80
Positions
Spirit Academy
MQ6
mqww
Event PnL
-$484.85
Volume
$3,030.33
Positions
Spirit Academy
BE7
BetBadBet
Event PnL
+$210.35
Volume
$2,969.20
Positions
summer bear
SA8
sashasasha5
Event PnL
-$217.92
Volume
$2,724.13
Positions
Spirit Academy

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B"?

As of the latest update, Game Handicap: TS.A (-1.5) vs summer bear (+1.5) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Both Teams Destroy Barracks at 9,050% and Both Teams Beat Roshan at 9,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $193K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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