Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

$486.2K Vol
Aug 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
REKONIX 92.0%
Yakult Brothers 13.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? follows in second place at 9,975%, while Any Player Ultra Kill sits in third with 9,945%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $486.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $526.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? (9,975%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? maintains a 9,975% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,975¢.
  • Any Player Ultra Kill (9,945%): Sitting in third place with a 9,945% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Any Player Ultra Kill, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Match Winner (9,300%), First Blood in Game 1? (9,050%), and Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$526.7K9995¢-9895¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?9975.0%9975¢-9875¢
3Any Player Ultra Kill9945.0%9945¢-9845¢
4Match Winner9300.0%$126.2K9300¢-9200¢
5First Blood in Game 1?9050.0%$789050¢-8950¢
6Both Teams Beat Roshan9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?9000.0%$49000¢-8900¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
11Game 2 Winner8200.0%$87.6K8200¢-8100¢
12Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)8100.0%8100¢-8000¢
13Ends in Daytime5000.0%$1005000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Rampage5000.0%$855000¢-4900¢
17Ends in Daytime5000.0%$1005000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Rampage5000.0%$855000¢-4900¢
22First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25O/U 2.5 Games1750.0%$21750¢-1650¢
26Both Teams Destroy Barracks1000.0%1000¢-900¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
28Ends in Daytime50.0%$10050¢50¢
29Game Handicap: YB (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)5.0%$42195¢
30Any Player Ultra Kill5.0%95¢
31Any Player Rampage5.0%$8595¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between REKONIX and Yakult Brothers in the Games of the Future Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 2 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX win the match against Yakult Brothers.

This market will resolve to "Yakult Brothers" if Yakult Brothers win the match against REKONIX.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 2, 2026

  • 08:14 AM
    SMsmiigul
    $7.41

    Bought 15.122447 Yakult Brothers for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner at 0.49

  • 07:43 AM
    Q1q136084
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Yakult Brothers for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs at 0.5

  • 07:08 AM
    SYsyn.
    $113.30

    Bought 226.6 REKONIX for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs at 0.5

  • 06:21 AM
    0X0xe315130229DcF148e87555a6722BAF8770Dd3911-1769357511469
    $4.51

    Bought 8.843136 REKONIX for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs at 0.51

  • 06:16 AM
    0X0x14f680980Fd308cc256F29216e61DB404E4AF9f7-1776544682168
    $3.43

    Sold 7 Yakult Brothers for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs at 0.49

  • 06:16 AM
    Q1q136084
    $81.50

    Bought 163 Yakult Brothers for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs at 0.5

  • 06:14 AM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $1.62

    Bought 3.23 REKONIX for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs at 0.5

  • 06:14 AM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $2.50

    Bought 5 REKONIX for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs at 0.5

  • 06:14 AM
    Q1q136084
    $4.50

    Bought 9 Yakult Brothers for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs at 0.5

  • 06:14 AM
    0X0x14f680980Fd308cc256F29216e61DB404E4AF9f7-1776544682168
    $4.00

    Bought 8 Yakult Brothers for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs at 0.5

  • 06:14 AM
    Q1q136084
    $8.50

    Bought 17 Yakult Brothers for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs at 0.5

  • 06:14 AM
    $1.11

    Bought 2.134614 REKONIX for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs at 0.52

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

9E1
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
+$95.50
Volume
$13,817.82
Positions
REKONIX
E12
0xE16D…0592
Event PnL
+$157.52
Volume
$9,414.11
Positions
REKONIXREKONIXREKONIX
SU3
suntori
Event PnL
+$89.15
Volume
$7,877.65
Positions
REKONIX
LM4
lma0o0o0o
Event PnL
+$27.47
Volume
$5,494.93
Positions
Yakult Brothers
GP5
gpkashka
Event PnL
-$21.96
Volume
$4,392.43
Positions
Yakult Brothers
MI6
minetmentality
Event PnL
-$57.00
Volume
$3,799.96
Positions
Yakult Brothers
1R7
1rerrr
Event PnL
-$13.08
Volume
$3,451.98
Positions
Yakult Brothers
CO8
CORGI8
Event PnL
+$2.89
Volume
$3,414.87
Positions
REKONIX

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? at 9,975% and Any Player Ultra Kill at 9,945%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $486.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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